Divisions · Victoria · 122,351 enrolled
Casey
Aaron Violi (Liberal) won Casey in 2025 with 52.89% of the final two-candidate vote against Naomi Oakley (Labor), a marginal margin of 2.89 points.
Member now Aaron Violi Liberal · in Parliament since 21 May 2022
- Turnout
- 94.52%
- Informal
- 4.40%
- Labor TPP
- 47.11%
- TPP swing to Labor
- −1.46
- Formal votes
- 110,563
- 2022 winner
- Aaron Violi (Liberal)
2025 · first preferences
8 candidates
- Aaron VioliLiberal · sitting member · elected 45,194 40.88% +4.30
- Naomi OakleyLabor 26,820 24.26% −0.79
- Merran BlairGreens 12,107 10.95% −2.18
- Claire Ferres MilesIndependent 11,590 10.48% +2.43
- Ambere LivoriOne Nation 5,603 5.07% +1.80
- Phillip CourtisTrumpet of Patriots 3,716 3.36% +2.65
- Dan NebauerFamily First 3,154 2.85% +2.85
- Chloe BondAnimal Justice 2,379 2.15% +0.36
Votes, share of formal votes and swing on 2022 (AEC, notional for redrawn boundaries).
After preferences
The final two
Aaron Violi · Liberal 52.89% 58,479
Naomi Oakley · Labor 47.11% 52,084
Lead: 6,395 of 110,563 votes.
Distribution of preferences · 7 counts
| Candidate | First | Count 2 | Count 3 | Count 4 | Count 5 | Count 6 | Count 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Courtis · Trumpet of Patriots | 3,716 | 3,816 | 4,218 | excl. | |||
| Ambere Livori · One Nation | 5,603 | 5,797 | 6,987 | 9,612 | excl. | ||
| Chloe Bond · Animal Justice | 2,379 | excl. | |||||
| Dan Nebauer · Family First | 3,154 | 3,507 | excl. | ||||
| Merran Blair · Greens | 12,107 | 12,965 | 13,296 | 13,485 | 14,517 | excl. | |
| Naomi Oakley · Labor | 26,820 | 27,128 | 27,369 | 27,596 | 28,483 | 34,710 | 52,084 |
| Claire Ferres Miles · Independent | 11,590 | 12,002 | 12,390 | 12,855 | 15,404 | 22,820 | excl. |
| Aaron Violi · Liberal | 45,194 | 45,348 | 46,303 | 47,015 | 52,159 | 53,033 | 58,479 |
Each count excludes the candidate with the fewest votes and passes their papers on. Step through it on /au/seats.