Parties and polls · as of 5 November 2026
Two sides, a Coalitionand a crossbench. Labor governs with 94 of the 150 seats in the House. The Liberal and National parties, in Coalition, hold 41; the remaining 15 sit on the crossbench. In the Senate no party has the 39 votes to pass a bill alone. Since May 2026 One Nation has led a number of polls on first preferences.
In the 48th Parliament
Leadersand seats now. Labor Australian Labor Party Anthony Albanese leader since 30 May 2019
House 94
Senate 30 Liberal Liberal Party of Australia Angus Taylor leader since 13 February 2026
House 27
Senate 23 Nationals National Party of Australia Matt Canavan leader since 11 March 2026
House 14
Senate 4 LNP Liberal National Party of Queensland No federal leader of its own
House 0
Senate 0 Merged Queensland party (2008); its 16 MPs and 4 senators sit in the Liberal or Nationals party rooms and are counted there.
CLP Country Liberal Party (NT) No federal leader of its own
House 0
Senate 0 Northern Territory party affiliated with both Coalition parties; Senator Jacinta Nampijinpa Price sits with the Liberals.
David Shoebridge leader since 30 September 2026
House 1
Senate 10 One Nation Pauline Hanson's One Nation Pauline Hanson
House 2
Senate 4 Polling first or second on primary votes nationally through 2026.
Community Strong Community Strong Australia No federal leader of its own
House 2
Senate 0 Party of the 'teal' independents Allegra Spender (Wentworth) and Zali Steggall (Warringah); on the AEC register as a parliamentary party.
Katter's Australian Katter's Australian Party Bob Katter
House 1
Senate 0 Centre Alliance Centre Alliance Rebekha Sharkie
House 1
Senate 0 Lambie Network Jacqui Lambie Network Jacqui Lambie
House 0
Senate 1 Lambie's own colour is white with black; draw it with an outline.
United Australia Clive Palmer's United Australia Party CP Clive Palmer
House 0
Senate 1 Senator Ralph Babet.
Australia's Voice Australia's Voice Fatima Payman
House 0
Senate 1 No federal leader of its own
House 8
Senate 2 House: Boele, Chaney, Gee, Haines, Le, Ryan, Scamps, Wilkie. Senate: Pocock, Thorpe. Teal-aligned independents are often drawn in #5FB4B4.
Seats: House as of 25 June 2026, Senate as of 14 May 2026 (Wikipedia composition tables, secondary). A majority is 76 in the House; 39 votes pass a bill in the Senate.
Photos: Anthony Albanese
— Australian Government, CC BY 4.0 · Angus Taylor
— Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water. 2022. https://www.dcceew.gov.au © Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Wat, CC BY 4.0 · Matt Canavan
— Pellowe Talk, CC BY 3.0 · David Shoebridge
— Australian Greens, CC BY-SA 2.5 au · Bob Katter
— Parliament@Work, CC BY-SA 3.0 au · Rebekha Sharkie
— Parliamentary Education Office, CC BY 3.0 · Jacqui Lambie
— MadDogSPR, CC BY-SA 4.0 . Others public domain.
Via Wikimedia Commons.
The Liberal–National Coalition
41 seats,two party rooms. The Liberal and National parties govern or oppose together under a written Coalition agreement, but stand separately (sometimes against each other in 'three-cornered' contests) and keep separate party rooms. In Queensland they merged into the LNP (2008), whose federal members sit with either party; the Country Liberal Party plays the same role in the NT. The Liberal leader leads the Coalition; the Nationals leader is deputy (Deputy Prime Minister in government).
20 May 2025 Nationals leave the Coalition after the 2025 election defeat (nuclear power, regional fund, supermarket divestiture) 28 May 2025 Coalition agreement renewed under Sussan Ley and David Littleproud 22 January 2026 Nationals quit again after three Nationals senators' shadow-ministry resignations over hate-speech laws were accepted 8 February 2026 Coalition reunited; shadow cabinet decisions can only be overturned by a joint party room 13 February 2026 Angus Taylor defeats Ley for the Liberal leadership 11 March 2026 Matt Canavan succeeds Littleproud as Nationals leader 41 House members and 27 senators. Timeline: Wikipedia (secondary) ↗
AEC Register of Political Parties
34 registered parties,14 with a member in Parliament.
Registration lets a party's name appear on the ballot paper and its candidates be nominated by the party. A party
needs at least one member of the federal Parliament or 1,500 members on the electoral roll. State branches
registered under a federal party are not listed separately.
Affordable Housing Now - Sustainable Australia Party Animal Justice Party Australian Christians Australian Citizens Party Australian Democrats Australian Greens in Parliament Australian Labor Party (ALP) in Parliament Australia's Voice in Parliament Better Together Party Centre Alliance in Parliament Clive Palmer's United Australia Party in Parliament Community Strong Australia in Parliament Country Liberal Party (NT) in Parliament Dai Le & Frank Carbone W.S.C. in Parliament David Pocock in Parliament Family First Party Australia Gerard Rennick People First Health Environment Accountability Rights Transparency (HEART) Indigenous - Aboriginal Party of Australia Jacqui Lambie Network in Parliament Katter's Australian Party (KAP) in Parliament Legalise Cannabis Australia Liberal Party of Australia in Parliament Libertarian Party National Party of Australia in Parliament Pauline Hanson's One Nation in Parliament Power 2 People Reform Australia Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party Socialist Alliance Tammy Tyrrell for Tasmania The Great Australian Party Victorian Socialists votefusion.org for big ideas AEC: Current register of political parties (5 November 2026) ↗
Federal voting intention · 177 polls since 3 May 2025 · secondary: Wikipedia
The pollssince May 2025. Labor 26.5% 2025 result 34.6% Coalition 22.3% 2025 result 31.8% One Nation 26.4% 2025 result 6.4% Greens 13.7% 2025 result 12.2% Others 11.3% 2025 result — Average primary vote of the 10 polls whose fieldwork ended between 4 October 2026 and 3 November 2026; each poll counts once.
Labor v Coalition: Labor 49.4% Labor v One Nation: Labor 54.5% 40 45 50 55 60 July ’25 October ’25 January ’26 April ’26 July ’26 October ’26 50% 2025: Labor 55.22% Roy Morgan, 1 June 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 58.5% Roy Morgan, 22 June 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 58.0% Roy Morgan, 29 June 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 57.5% RedBridge/Accent, 30 June 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 55.5% Spectre Strategy, 1 July 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.5% DemosAU, 6 July 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 59.0% Newspoll, 17 July 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 57.0% Resolve, 18 July 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.0% Roy Morgan, 27 July 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 57.0% Wolf & Smith, 30 July 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 57.0% Newspoll, 14 August 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.0% Resolve, 16 August 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 59.0% Roy Morgan, 24 August 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.5% RedBridge/Accent, 8 September 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.5% Newspoll, 11 September 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 58.0% Resolve, 13 September 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 55.0% Roy Morgan, 21 September 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 55.5% Essential, 29 September 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.7% YouGov, 30 September 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.0% Newspoll, 2 October 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 57.0% RedBridge/Accent, 7 October 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.0% Resolve, 12 October 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 55.0% Roy Morgan, 19 October 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 57.0% Freshwater, 20 October 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 55.0% Essential, 27 October 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.2% Newspoll, 30 October 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 57.0% YouGov, 30 October 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.0% Resolve, 8 November 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.0% DemosAU, 11 November 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.0% RedBridge/Accent, 13 November 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.0% Roy Morgan, 16 November 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.5% Spectre Strategy, 17 November 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.0% Newspoll, 20 November 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 58.0% Essential, 24 November 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.2% RedBridge/Accent, 26 November 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.0% Resolve, 7 December 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 55.0% Essential, 8 December 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 52.1% RedBridge/Accent, 12 December 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.0% Roy Morgan, 14 December 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.5% Resolve, 20 December 2025: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.0% Fox & Hedgehog, 6 January 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.0% DemosAU, 6 January 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 52.0% Roy Morgan, 11 January 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 52.0% Resolve, 16 January 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 52.0% Newspoll, 16 January 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 55.0% Freshwater, 18 January 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.0% Roy Morgan, 18 January 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.5% Roy Morgan, 25 January 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.5% YouGov, 27 January 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 55.0% RedBridge/Accent, 29 January 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.0% Roy Morgan, 1 February 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.0% Roy Morgan, 8 February 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.5% YouGov, 10 February 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.0% Resolve, 12 February 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 55.0% Roy Morgan, 13 February 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 58.5% Resolve, 14 February 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 55.0% Roy Morgan, 16 February 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 55.0% Fox & Hedgehog, 19 February 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 51.0% Roy Morgan, 22 February 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.0% Essential, 23 February 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 49.5% YouGov, 24 February 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.0% RedBridge/Accent, 27 February 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.0% Roy Morgan, 1 March 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.0% Roy Morgan, 8 March 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.5% YouGov, 10 March 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 55.0% Roy Morgan, 15 March 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.0% Roy Morgan, 22 March 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 52.5% Essential, 23 March 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 49.5% YouGov, 24 March 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.0% Fox & Hedgehog, 25 March 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 51.0% RedBridge/Accent, 27 March 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.0% Freshwater, 29 March 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 51.0% Roy Morgan, 29 March 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.5% Roy Morgan, 5 April 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.0% YouGov, 7 April 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 55.0% Spectre Strategy, 8 April 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 51.0% Roy Morgan, 12 April 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.0% Resolve, 18 April 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 55.0% Roy Morgan, 19 April 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 55.5% YouGov, 21 April 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.0% Roy Morgan, 26 April 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.5% Essential, 27 April 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 49.0% RedBridge/Accent, 30 April 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.0% Freshwater, 30 April 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.0% Roy Morgan, 3 May 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.5% YouGov, 5 May 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.0% Roy Morgan, 10 May 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.5% Roy Morgan, 14 May 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 55.0% Roy Morgan, 17 May 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.0% YouGov, 19 May 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 52.0% Roy Morgan, 24 May 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.0% Essential, 25 May 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 50.5% Fox & Hedgehog, 26 May 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 49.0% RedBridge/Accent, 28 May 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 51.0% Roy Morgan, 31 May 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 55.5% YouGov, 2 June 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 51.5% Roy Morgan, 7 June 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.0% Roy Morgan, 14 June 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.5% YouGov, 16 June 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 52.0% Roy Morgan, 21 June 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.0% RedBridge/Accent, 26 June 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.0% Roy Morgan, 28 June 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.5% Essential, 29 June 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 48.9% YouGov, 30 June 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.0% Roy Morgan, 5 July 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 55.0% Roy Morgan, 12 July 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.0% YouGov, 14 July 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.0% Roy Morgan, 19 July 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.0% Spectre Strategy, 23 July 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 51.0% Roy Morgan, 26 July 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 54.0% Essential, 27 July 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 50.5% YouGov, 28 July 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.0% RedBridge/Accent, 30 July 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 48.0% Roy Morgan, 2 August 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 52.0% Roy Morgan, 9 August 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.0% YouGov, 10 August 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 52.0% Roy Morgan, 16 August 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 52.0% Roy Morgan, 23 August 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 52.0% YouGov, 24 August 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.0% RedBridge/Accent, 28 August 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 48.0% Roy Morgan, 30 August 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 56.0% Essential, 31 August 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 47.4% Roy Morgan, 6 September 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.0% YouGov, 8 September 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 52.0% Roy Morgan, 13 September 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 55.0% Roy Morgan, 20 September 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.0% YouGov, 21 September 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 52.0% Roy Morgan, 27 September 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 52.5% Essential, 28 September 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 51.1% RedBridge/Accent, 2 October 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 46.0% YouGov, 6 October 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 52.0% Roy Morgan, 11 October 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 53.0% YouGov, 20 October 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 50.0% Roy Morgan, 25 October 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 52.5% Essential, 26 October 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 45.8% YouGov, 3 November 2026: Labor v Coalition: Labor 50.0% Fox & Hedgehog, 6 January 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 56.0% DemosAU, 6 January 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 50.0% Freshwater, 18 January 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 57.0% YouGov, 27 January 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 57.0% YouGov, 10 February 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 55.0% Fox & Hedgehog, 19 February 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 53.0% YouGov, 24 February 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 56.0% RedBridge/Accent, 27 February 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 54.0% YouGov, 10 March 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 55.0% YouGov, 24 March 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 53.0% Fox & Hedgehog, 25 March 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 56.0% RedBridge/Accent, 27 March 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 53.0% Freshwater, 29 March 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 55.0% YouGov, 7 April 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 55.0% Spectre Strategy, 8 April 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 52.0% YouGov, 21 April 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 52.0% RedBridge/Accent, 30 April 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 55.0% YouGov, 5 May 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 57.0% Roy Morgan, 14 May 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 51.0% Roy Morgan, 17 May 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 54.0% YouGov, 19 May 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 53.0% Roy Morgan, 24 May 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 53.5% Fox & Hedgehog, 26 May 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 54.0% RedBridge/Accent, 28 May 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 51.0% Roy Morgan, 31 May 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 53.5% YouGov, 2 June 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 52.5% Roy Morgan, 7 June 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 53.5% Roy Morgan, 14 June 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 53.0% YouGov, 16 June 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 52.0% Roy Morgan, 21 June 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 51.0% RedBridge/Accent, 26 June 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 56.0% Roy Morgan, 28 June 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 53.0% YouGov, 30 June 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 54.0% Roy Morgan, 5 July 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 56.0% Roy Morgan, 12 July 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 52.5% YouGov, 14 July 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 56.0% Roy Morgan, 19 July 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 55.0% Spectre Strategy, 23 July 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 54.0% Roy Morgan, 26 July 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 53.5% YouGov, 28 July 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 56.0% RedBridge/Accent, 30 July 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 53.0% Roy Morgan, 2 August 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 54.0% Roy Morgan, 9 August 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 53.0% YouGov, 10 August 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 56.0% Roy Morgan, 16 August 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 53.0% Roy Morgan, 23 August 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 53.0% YouGov, 24 August 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 56.0% RedBridge/Accent, 28 August 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 52.0% Roy Morgan, 30 August 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 55.5% Roy Morgan, 6 September 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 53.5% YouGov, 8 September 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 53.0% Roy Morgan, 13 September 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 54.5% Roy Morgan, 20 September 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 54.0% YouGov, 21 September 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 55.0% Roy Morgan, 27 September 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 53.5% RedBridge/Accent, 2 October 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 52.0% YouGov, 6 October 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 53.0% Roy Morgan, 11 October 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 54.5% YouGov, 20 October 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 53.0% Roy Morgan, 25 October 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 55.0% YouGov, 3 November 2026: Labor v One Nation: Labor 54.0% Two-party-preferred: Labor's share of each published pair. Dots: polls (hover or tap for the pollster); lines: 28-day average, each pollster once. Many pollsters now also publish Labor against One Nation. Labor 26.8% Coalition 22.9% One Nation 26.1% Greens 13.1% 0 10 20 30 40 July ’25 October ’25 January ’26 April ’26 July ’26 October ’26 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Roy Morgan, 1 June 2025: Labor 37.0% Roy Morgan, 22 June 2025: Labor 37.5% Roy Morgan, 29 June 2025: Labor 36.5% RedBridge/Accent, 30 June 2025: Labor 37.0% Spectre Strategy, 1 July 2025: Labor 35.9% DemosAU, 6 July 2025: Labor 36.0% Newspoll, 17 July 2025: Labor 36.0% Resolve, 18 July 2025: Labor 35.0% Roy Morgan, 27 July 2025: Labor 36.5% Wolf & Smith, 30 July 2025: Labor 36.0% Newspoll, 14 August 2025: Labor 36.0% Resolve, 16 August 2025: Labor 37.0% Roy Morgan, 24 August 2025: Labor 34.0% RedBridge/Accent, 8 September 2025: Labor 35.0% Newspoll, 11 September 2025: Labor 36.0% Resolve, 13 September 2025: Labor 35.0% Roy Morgan, 21 September 2025: Labor 34.0% Essential, 29 September 2025: Labor 35.0% YouGov, 30 September 2025: Labor 34.0% Newspoll, 2 October 2025: Labor 37.0% RedBridge/Accent, 7 October 2025: Labor 34.0% Resolve, 12 October 2025: Labor 34.0% Roy Morgan, 19 October 2025: Labor 35.0% Freshwater, 20 October 2025: Labor 33.0% Essential, 27 October 2025: Labor 36.0% Newspoll, 30 October 2025: Labor 36.0% YouGov, 30 October 2025: Labor 33.0% Resolve, 8 November 2025: Labor 33.0% DemosAU, 11 November 2025: Labor 33.0% RedBridge/Accent, 13 November 2025: Labor 38.0% Roy Morgan, 16 November 2025: Labor 33.0% YouGov, 17 November 2025: Labor 34.0% Spectre Strategy, 17 November 2025: Labor 33.0% Newspoll, 20 November 2025: Labor 36.0% Essential, 24 November 2025: Labor 36.0% RedBridge/Accent, 26 November 2025: Labor 35.0% YouGov, 2 December 2025: Labor 32.0% Resolve, 7 December 2025: Labor 35.0% Essential, 8 December 2025: Labor 34.0% RedBridge/Accent, 12 December 2025: Labor 35.0% Roy Morgan, 14 December 2025: Labor 30.5% Resolve, 20 December 2025: Labor 32.0% YouGov, 23 December 2025: Labor 30.0% Fox & Hedgehog, 6 January 2026: Labor 29.0% DemosAU, 6 January 2026: Labor 29.0% Roy Morgan, 11 January 2026: Labor 30.0% Resolve, 16 January 2026: Labor 30.0% Newspoll, 16 January 2026: Labor 32.0% Freshwater, 18 January 2026: Labor 33.0% Roy Morgan, 18 January 2026: Labor 28.5% DemosAU, 21 January 2026: Labor 30.0% Essential, 23 January 2026: Labor 31.0% Roy Morgan, 25 January 2026: Labor 30.5% YouGov, 27 January 2026: Labor 31.0% RedBridge/Accent, 29 January 2026: Labor 34.0% Roy Morgan, 1 February 2026: Labor 30.5% Newspoll, 8 February 2026: Labor 33.0% Roy Morgan, 8 February 2026: Labor 28.5% YouGov, 10 February 2026: Labor 30.0% Resolve, 12 February 2026: Labor 31.0% RedBridge/Accent, 12 February 2026: Labor 34.0% Roy Morgan, 13 February 2026: Labor 30.5% Resolve, 14 February 2026: Labor 32.0% Roy Morgan, 16 February 2026: Labor 32.0% Fox & Hedgehog, 19 February 2026: Labor 30.0% DemosAU, 20 February 2026: Labor 29.0% Roy Morgan, 22 February 2026: Labor 31.0% Essential, 23 February 2026: Labor 30.0% YouGov, 24 February 2026: Labor 29.0% Newspoll, 26 February 2026: Labor 32.0% RedBridge/Accent, 27 February 2026: Labor 32.0% Roy Morgan, 1 March 2026: Labor 30.5% DemosAU, 3 March 2026: Labor 29.0% Roy Morgan, 8 March 2026: Labor 26.5% YouGov, 10 March 2026: Labor 30.0% Resolve, 14 March 2026: Labor 29.0% Roy Morgan, 15 March 2026: Labor 28.5% YouGov, 19 March 2026: Labor 28.0% Roy Morgan, 22 March 2026: Labor 27.0% Essential, 23 March 2026: Labor 31.0% YouGov, 24 March 2026: Labor 29.0% Fox & Hedgehog, 25 March 2026: Labor 30.0% Newspoll, 26 March 2026: Labor 31.0% RedBridge/Accent, 27 March 2026: Labor 32.0% Freshwater, 29 March 2026: Labor 32.0% Roy Morgan, 29 March 2026: Labor 30.0% Roy Morgan, 5 April 2026: Labor 30.5% YouGov, 7 April 2026: Labor 30.0% Spectre Strategy, 8 April 2026: Labor 28.0% Roy Morgan, 12 April 2026: Labor 30.0% DemosAU, 14 April 2026: Labor 26.0% Newspoll, 16 April 2026: Labor 31.0% Resolve, 18 April 2026: Labor 32.0% Roy Morgan, 19 April 2026: Labor 30.5% YouGov, 21 April 2026: Labor 27.0% Roy Morgan, 26 April 2026: Labor 30.0% Essential, 27 April 2026: Labor 30.0% RedBridge/Accent, 30 April 2026: Labor 31.0% Freshwater, 30 April 2026: Labor 32.0% Roy Morgan, 3 May 2026: Labor 29.5% YouGov, 5 May 2026: Labor 30.0% Roy Morgan, 10 May 2026: Labor 30.5% Wolf & Smith, 13 May 2026: Labor 30.0% Roy Morgan, 14 May 2026: Labor 28.5% RedBridge/Accent, 14 May 2026: Labor 31.0% Freshwater, 15 May 2026: Labor 29.0% Resolve, 16 May 2026: Labor 29.0% Newspoll, 17 May 2026: Labor 31.0% Roy Morgan, 17 May 2026: Labor 29.5% YouGov, 19 May 2026: Labor 28.0% DemosAU, 20 May 2026: Labor 26.0% Roy Morgan, 24 May 2026: Labor 27.5% Essential, 25 May 2026: Labor 29.0% Fox & Hedgehog, 26 May 2026: Labor 29.0% Agenda C Synesis, 26 May 2026: Labor 29.0% RedBridge/Accent, 28 May 2026: Labor 28.0% Roy Morgan, 31 May 2026: Labor 27.0% YouGov, 2 June 2026: Labor 26.0% Newspoll, 4 June 2026: Labor 30.0% Roy Morgan, 7 June 2026: Labor 26.0% Resolve, 13 June 2026: Labor 28.0% Roy Morgan, 14 June 2026: Labor 28.0% YouGov, 16 June 2026: Labor 26.0% DemosAU, 18 June 2026: Labor 27.0% Roy Morgan, 21 June 2026: Labor 27.0% Newspoll, 25 June 2026: Labor 33.0% RedBridge/Accent, 26 June 2026: Labor 30.0% Roy Morgan, 28 June 2026: Labor 28.0% Essential, 29 June 2026: Labor 30.0% YouGov, 30 June 2026: Labor 29.0% Roy Morgan, 5 July 2026: Labor 28.0% DemosAU, 8 July 2026: Labor 26.0% Resolve, 11 July 2026: Labor 28.0% Roy Morgan, 12 July 2026: Labor 27.5% YouGov, 14 July 2026: Labor 28.0% Newspoll, 16 July 2026: Labor 30.0% Roy Morgan, 19 July 2026: Labor 27.5% Spectre Strategy, 23 July 2026: Labor 28.0% Roy Morgan, 26 July 2026: Labor 27.5% Essential, 27 July 2026: Labor 31.0% YouGov, 28 July 2026: Labor 28.0% RedBridge/Accent, 30 July 2026: Labor 29.0% Roy Morgan, 2 August 2026: Labor 27.5% Newspoll, 7 August 2026: Labor 29.0% Roy Morgan, 9 August 2026: Labor 25.5% YouGov, 10 August 2026: Labor 28.0% Resolve, 15 August 2026: Labor 28.0% Roy Morgan, 16 August 2026: Labor 28.5% DemosAU, 20 August 2026: Labor 26.0% Roy Morgan, 23 August 2026: Labor 27.0% YouGov, 24 August 2026: Labor 29.0% Newspoll, 28 August 2026: Labor 29.0% RedBridge/Accent, 28 August 2026: Labor 29.0% Roy Morgan, 30 August 2026: Labor 29.5% Essential, 31 August 2026: Labor 26.0% Roy Morgan, 6 September 2026: Labor 27.0% YouGov, 8 September 2026: Labor 26.0% Resolve, 12 September 2026: Labor 28.0% Roy Morgan, 13 September 2026: Labor 25.0% DemosAU, 14 September 2026: Labor 28.0% Newspoll, 17 September 2026: Labor 27.0% DemosAU, 19 September 2026: Labor 27.0% Roy Morgan, 20 September 2026: Labor 25.0% YouGov, 21 September 2026: Labor 26.0% Roy Morgan, 27 September 2026: Labor 26.0% Essential, 28 September 2026: Labor 29.0% RedBridge/Accent, 2 October 2026: Labor 28.0% YouGov, 6 October 2026: Labor 25.0% Newspoll, 8 October 2026: Labor 29.0% Resolve, 10 October 2026: Labor 29.0% Roy Morgan, 11 October 2026: Labor 26.0% YouGov, 20 October 2026: Labor 24.0% Roy Morgan, 25 October 2026: Labor 26.0% DemosAU, 26 October 2026: Labor 26.0% Essential, 26 October 2026: Labor 28.0% Newspoll, 29 October 2026: Labor 27.0% YouGov, 3 November 2026: Labor 25.0% Roy Morgan, 1 June 2025: Coalition 31.0% Roy Morgan, 22 June 2025: Coalition 31.0% Roy Morgan, 29 June 2025: Coalition 30.5% RedBridge/Accent, 30 June 2025: Coalition 31.0% Spectre Strategy, 1 July 2025: Coalition 31.0% DemosAU, 6 July 2025: Coalition 26.0% Newspoll, 17 July 2025: Coalition 29.0% Resolve, 18 July 2025: Coalition 29.0% Roy Morgan, 27 July 2025: Coalition 31.0% Wolf & Smith, 30 July 2025: Coalition 30.0% Newspoll, 14 August 2025: Coalition 30.0% Resolve, 16 August 2025: Coalition 29.0% Roy Morgan, 24 August 2025: Coalition 30.0% RedBridge/Accent, 8 September 2025: Coalition 30.0% Newspoll, 11 September 2025: Coalition 27.0% Resolve, 13 September 2025: Coalition 27.0% Roy Morgan, 21 September 2025: Coalition 30.0% Essential, 29 September 2025: Coalition 27.0% YouGov, 30 September 2025: Coalition 27.0% Newspoll, 2 October 2025: Coalition 28.0% RedBridge/Accent, 7 October 2025: Coalition 29.0% Resolve, 12 October 2025: Coalition 28.0% Roy Morgan, 19 October 2025: Coalition 27.0% Freshwater, 20 October 2025: Coalition 31.0% Essential, 27 October 2025: Coalition 26.0% Newspoll, 30 October 2025: Coalition 24.0% YouGov, 30 October 2025: Coalition 27.0% Resolve, 8 November 2025: Coalition 29.0% DemosAU, 11 November 2025: Coalition 24.0% RedBridge/Accent, 13 November 2025: Coalition 24.0% Roy Morgan, 16 November 2025: Coalition 27.0% YouGov, 17 November 2025: Coalition 26.0% Spectre Strategy, 17 November 2025: Coalition 25.0% Newspoll, 20 November 2025: Coalition 24.0% Essential, 24 November 2025: Coalition 27.0% RedBridge/Accent, 26 November 2025: Coalition 26.0% YouGov, 2 December 2025: Coalition 24.0% Resolve, 7 December 2025: Coalition 26.0% Essential, 8 December 2025: Coalition 26.0% RedBridge/Accent, 12 December 2025: Coalition 26.0% Roy Morgan, 14 December 2025: Coalition 27.5% Resolve, 20 December 2025: Coalition 28.0% YouGov, 23 December 2025: Coalition 24.0% Fox & Hedgehog, 6 January 2026: Coalition 25.0% DemosAU, 6 January 2026: Coalition 23.0% Roy Morgan, 11 January 2026: Coalition 30.5% Resolve, 16 January 2026: Coalition 28.0% Newspoll, 16 January 2026: Coalition 21.0% Freshwater, 18 January 2026: Coalition 28.0% Roy Morgan, 18 January 2026: Coalition 24.0% DemosAU, 21 January 2026: Coalition 21.0% Essential, 23 January 2026: Coalition 25.0% Roy Morgan, 25 January 2026: Coalition 22.5% YouGov, 27 January 2026: Coalition 16.0% RedBridge/Accent, 29 January 2026: Coalition 15.0% Roy Morgan, 1 February 2026: Coalition 20.5% Newspoll, 8 February 2026: Coalition 18.0% Roy Morgan, 8 February 2026: Coalition 22.5% YouGov, 10 February 2026: Coalition 15.0% Resolve, 12 February 2026: Coalition 20.0% RedBridge/Accent, 12 February 2026: Coalition 17.0% Roy Morgan, 13 February 2026: Coalition 20.0% Resolve, 14 February 2026: Coalition 23.0% Roy Morgan, 16 February 2026: Coalition 23.5% Fox & Hedgehog, 19 February 2026: Coalition 24.0% DemosAU, 20 February 2026: Coalition 21.0% Roy Morgan, 22 February 2026: Coalition 24.0% Essential, 23 February 2026: Coalition 26.0% YouGov, 24 February 2026: Coalition 17.0% Newspoll, 26 February 2026: Coalition 20.0% RedBridge/Accent, 27 February 2026: Coalition 15.0% Roy Morgan, 1 March 2026: Coalition 23.5% DemosAU, 3 March 2026: Coalition 21.0% Roy Morgan, 8 March 2026: Coalition 22.5% YouGov, 10 March 2026: Coalition 19.0% Resolve, 14 March 2026: Coalition 22.0% Roy Morgan, 15 March 2026: Coalition 24.0% YouGov, 19 March 2026: Coalition 21.0% Roy Morgan, 22 March 2026: Coalition 25.5% Essential, 23 March 2026: Coalition 24.0% YouGov, 24 March 2026: Coalition 19.0% Fox & Hedgehog, 25 March 2026: Coalition 23.0% Newspoll, 26 March 2026: Coalition 21.0% RedBridge/Accent, 27 March 2026: Coalition 17.0% Freshwater, 29 March 2026: Coalition 23.0% Roy Morgan, 29 March 2026: Coalition 22.5% Roy Morgan, 5 April 2026: Coalition 24.0% YouGov, 7 April 2026: Coalition 20.0% Spectre Strategy, 8 April 2026: Coalition 24.0% Roy Morgan, 12 April 2026: Coalition 22.5% DemosAU, 14 April 2026: Coalition 23.0% Newspoll, 16 April 2026: Coalition 21.0% Resolve, 18 April 2026: Coalition 23.0% Roy Morgan, 19 April 2026: Coalition 23.0% YouGov, 21 April 2026: Coalition 20.0% Roy Morgan, 26 April 2026: Coalition 22.5% Essential, 27 April 2026: Coalition 24.0% RedBridge/Accent, 30 April 2026: Coalition 22.0% Freshwater, 30 April 2026: Coalition 23.0% Roy Morgan, 3 May 2026: Coalition 24.0% YouGov, 5 May 2026: Coalition 21.0% Roy Morgan, 10 May 2026: Coalition 25.0% Wolf & Smith, 13 May 2026: Coalition 24.0% Roy Morgan, 14 May 2026: Coalition 16.5% RedBridge/Accent, 14 May 2026: Coalition 21.0% Freshwater, 15 May 2026: Coalition 25.0% Resolve, 16 May 2026: Coalition 23.0% Newspoll, 17 May 2026: Coalition 20.0% Roy Morgan, 17 May 2026: Coalition 24.0% YouGov, 19 May 2026: Coalition 23.0% DemosAU, 20 May 2026: Coalition 23.0% Roy Morgan, 24 May 2026: Coalition 23.0% Essential, 25 May 2026: Coalition 23.0% Fox & Hedgehog, 26 May 2026: Coalition 25.0% Agenda C Synesis, 26 May 2026: Coalition 18.0% RedBridge/Accent, 28 May 2026: Coalition 20.0% Roy Morgan, 31 May 2026: Coalition 20.0% YouGov, 2 June 2026: Coalition 20.0% Newspoll, 4 June 2026: Coalition 18.0% Roy Morgan, 7 June 2026: Coalition 17.5% Resolve, 13 June 2026: Coalition 20.0% Roy Morgan, 14 June 2026: Coalition 17.0% YouGov, 16 June 2026: Coalition 21.0% DemosAU, 18 June 2026: Coalition 18.0% Roy Morgan, 21 June 2026: Coalition 17.5% Newspoll, 25 June 2026: Coalition 17.0% RedBridge/Accent, 26 June 2026: Coalition 18.0% Roy Morgan, 28 June 2026: Coalition 21.5% Essential, 29 June 2026: Coalition 23.0% YouGov, 30 June 2026: Coalition 17.0% Roy Morgan, 5 July 2026: Coalition 21.5% DemosAU, 8 July 2026: Coalition 21.0% Resolve, 11 July 2026: Coalition 23.0% Roy Morgan, 12 July 2026: Coalition 20.0% YouGov, 14 July 2026: Coalition 20.0% Newspoll, 16 July 2026: Coalition 19.0% Roy Morgan, 19 July 2026: Coalition 23.0% Spectre Strategy, 23 July 2026: Coalition 23.0% Roy Morgan, 26 July 2026: Coalition 22.0% Essential, 27 July 2026: Coalition 22.0% YouGov, 28 July 2026: Coalition 22.0% RedBridge/Accent, 30 July 2026: Coalition 22.0% Roy Morgan, 2 August 2026: Coalition 23.5% Newspoll, 7 August 2026: Coalition 18.0% Roy Morgan, 9 August 2026: Coalition 22.0% YouGov, 10 August 2026: Coalition 22.0% Resolve, 15 August 2026: Coalition 23.0% Roy Morgan, 16 August 2026: Coalition 23.5% DemosAU, 20 August 2026: Coalition 25.0% Roy Morgan, 23 August 2026: Coalition 21.0% YouGov, 24 August 2026: Coalition 21.0% Newspoll, 28 August 2026: Coalition 19.0% RedBridge/Accent, 28 August 2026: Coalition 22.0% Roy Morgan, 30 August 2026: Coalition 20.5% Essential, 31 August 2026: Coalition 26.0% Roy Morgan, 6 September 2026: Coalition 21.5% YouGov, 8 September 2026: Coalition 18.0% Resolve, 12 September 2026: Coalition 24.0% Roy Morgan, 13 September 2026: Coalition 21.5% DemosAU, 14 September 2026: Coalition 20.0% Newspoll, 17 September 2026: Coalition 19.0% DemosAU, 19 September 2026: Coalition 22.0% Roy Morgan, 20 September 2026: Coalition 21.5% YouGov, 21 September 2026: Coalition 21.0% Roy Morgan, 27 September 2026: Coalition 22.5% Essential, 28 September 2026: Coalition 22.0% RedBridge/Accent, 2 October 2026: Coalition 21.0% YouGov, 6 October 2026: Coalition 21.0% Newspoll, 8 October 2026: Coalition 20.0% Resolve, 10 October 2026: Coalition 23.0% Roy Morgan, 11 October 2026: Coalition 21.5% YouGov, 20 October 2026: Coalition 23.0% Roy Morgan, 25 October 2026: Coalition 23.5% DemosAU, 26 October 2026: Coalition 24.0% Essential, 26 October 2026: Coalition 23.0% Newspoll, 29 October 2026: Coalition 21.0% YouGov, 3 November 2026: Coalition 23.0% Roy Morgan, 1 June 2025: One Nation 6.0% Roy Morgan, 22 June 2025: One Nation 6.0% Roy Morgan, 29 June 2025: One Nation 8.5% RedBridge/Accent, 30 June 2025: One Nation 9.0% Spectre Strategy, 1 July 2025: One Nation 7.9% DemosAU, 6 July 2025: One Nation 9.0% Newspoll, 17 July 2025: One Nation 8.0% Resolve, 18 July 2025: One Nation 8.0% Roy Morgan, 27 July 2025: One Nation 7.0% Newspoll, 14 August 2025: One Nation 9.0% Resolve, 16 August 2025: One Nation 9.0% Roy Morgan, 24 August 2025: One Nation 9.0% RedBridge/Accent, 8 September 2025: One Nation 11.0% Newspoll, 11 September 2025: One Nation 10.0% Resolve, 13 September 2025: One Nation 12.0% Roy Morgan, 21 September 2025: One Nation 9.5% Essential, 29 September 2025: One Nation 13.0% YouGov, 30 September 2025: One Nation 12.0% Newspoll, 2 October 2025: One Nation 11.0% RedBridge/Accent, 7 October 2025: One Nation 14.0% Resolve, 12 October 2025: One Nation 12.0% Roy Morgan, 19 October 2025: One Nation 12.0% Freshwater, 20 October 2025: One Nation 10.0% Essential, 27 October 2025: One Nation 15.0% Newspoll, 30 October 2025: One Nation 15.0% YouGov, 30 October 2025: One Nation 13.0% Resolve, 8 November 2025: One Nation 12.0% DemosAU, 11 November 2025: One Nation 17.0% RedBridge/Accent, 13 November 2025: One Nation 18.0% Roy Morgan, 16 November 2025: One Nation 14.0% YouGov, 17 November 2025: One Nation 18.0% Spectre Strategy, 17 November 2025: One Nation 17.5% Newspoll, 20 November 2025: One Nation 15.0% Essential, 24 November 2025: One Nation 15.0% RedBridge/Accent, 26 November 2025: One Nation 18.0% YouGov, 2 December 2025: One Nation 19.0% Resolve, 7 December 2025: One Nation 14.0% Essential, 8 December 2025: One Nation 17.0% RedBridge/Accent, 12 December 2025: One Nation 17.0% Roy Morgan, 14 December 2025: One Nation 17.0% Resolve, 20 December 2025: One Nation 16.0% YouGov, 23 December 2025: One Nation 20.0% Fox & Hedgehog, 6 January 2026: One Nation 21.0% DemosAU, 6 January 2026: One Nation 23.0% Roy Morgan, 11 January 2026: One Nation 15.0% Resolve, 16 January 2026: One Nation 18.0% Newspoll, 16 January 2026: One Nation 22.0% Freshwater, 18 January 2026: One Nation 19.0% Roy Morgan, 18 January 2026: One Nation 21.0% DemosAU, 21 January 2026: One Nation 24.0% Essential, 23 January 2026: One Nation 22.0% Roy Morgan, 25 January 2026: One Nation 22.5% YouGov, 27 January 2026: One Nation 25.0% RedBridge/Accent, 29 January 2026: One Nation 26.0% Roy Morgan, 1 February 2026: One Nation 25.0% Newspoll, 8 February 2026: One Nation 27.0% Roy Morgan, 8 February 2026: One Nation 24.5% YouGov, 10 February 2026: One Nation 28.0% Resolve, 12 February 2026: One Nation 25.0% RedBridge/Accent, 12 February 2026: One Nation 28.0% Roy Morgan, 13 February 2026: One Nation 25.0% Resolve, 14 February 2026: One Nation 23.0% Roy Morgan, 16 February 2026: One Nation 21.5% Fox & Hedgehog, 19 February 2026: One Nation 25.0% DemosAU, 20 February 2026: One Nation 28.0% Roy Morgan, 22 February 2026: One Nation 20.5% Essential, 23 February 2026: One Nation 22.0% YouGov, 24 February 2026: One Nation 24.0% Newspoll, 26 February 2026: One Nation 27.0% RedBridge/Accent, 27 February 2026: One Nation 28.0% Roy Morgan, 1 March 2026: One Nation 22.0% DemosAU, 3 March 2026: One Nation 27.0% Roy Morgan, 8 March 2026: One Nation 23.5% YouGov, 10 March 2026: One Nation 26.0% Resolve, 14 March 2026: One Nation 24.0% Roy Morgan, 15 March 2026: One Nation 22.5% YouGov, 19 March 2026: One Nation 26.0% Roy Morgan, 22 March 2026: One Nation 23.5% Essential, 23 March 2026: One Nation 24.0% YouGov, 24 March 2026: One Nation 27.0% Fox & Hedgehog, 25 March 2026: One Nation 23.0% Newspoll, 26 March 2026: One Nation 26.0% RedBridge/Accent, 27 March 2026: One Nation 29.0% Freshwater, 29 March 2026: One Nation 25.0% Roy Morgan, 29 March 2026: One Nation 23.5% Roy Morgan, 5 April 2026: One Nation 21.5% YouGov, 7 April 2026: One Nation 25.0% Spectre Strategy, 8 April 2026: One Nation 26.0% Roy Morgan, 12 April 2026: One Nation 24.5% DemosAU, 14 April 2026: One Nation 26.0% Newspoll, 16 April 2026: One Nation 24.0% Resolve, 18 April 2026: One Nation 22.0% Roy Morgan, 19 April 2026: One Nation 21.5% YouGov, 21 April 2026: One Nation 27.0% Roy Morgan, 26 April 2026: One Nation 22.5% Essential, 27 April 2026: One Nation 25.0% RedBridge/Accent, 30 April 2026: One Nation 27.0% Freshwater, 30 April 2026: One Nation 25.0% Roy Morgan, 3 May 2026: One Nation 21.5% YouGov, 5 May 2026: One Nation 24.0% Roy Morgan, 10 May 2026: One Nation 22.0% Wolf & Smith, 13 May 2026: One Nation 22.0% Roy Morgan, 14 May 2026: One Nation 32.0% RedBridge/Accent, 14 May 2026: One Nation 28.0% Freshwater, 15 May 2026: One Nation 26.0% Resolve, 16 May 2026: One Nation 24.0% Newspoll, 17 May 2026: One Nation 27.0% Roy Morgan, 17 May 2026: One Nation 24.5% YouGov, 19 May 2026: One Nation 25.0% DemosAU, 20 May 2026: One Nation 28.0% Roy Morgan, 24 May 2026: One Nation 25.5% Essential, 25 May 2026: One Nation 28.0% Fox & Hedgehog, 26 May 2026: One Nation 27.0% Agenda C Synesis, 26 May 2026: One Nation 24.0% RedBridge/Accent, 28 May 2026: One Nation 31.0% Roy Morgan, 31 May 2026: One Nation 27.0% YouGov, 2 June 2026: One Nation 29.0% Newspoll, 4 June 2026: One Nation 31.0% Roy Morgan, 7 June 2026: One Nation 29.5% Resolve, 13 June 2026: One Nation 29.0% Roy Morgan, 14 June 2026: One Nation 29.5% YouGov, 16 June 2026: One Nation 28.0% DemosAU, 18 June 2026: One Nation 30.0% Roy Morgan, 21 June 2026: One Nation 31.5% Newspoll, 25 June 2026: One Nation 29.0% RedBridge/Accent, 26 June 2026: One Nation 29.0% Roy Morgan, 28 June 2026: One Nation 26.0% Essential, 29 June 2026: One Nation 26.0% YouGov, 30 June 2026: One Nation 30.0% Roy Morgan, 5 July 2026: One Nation 22.5% DemosAU, 8 July 2026: One Nation 29.0% Resolve, 11 July 2026: One Nation 26.0% Roy Morgan, 12 July 2026: One Nation 28.0% YouGov, 14 July 2026: One Nation 26.0% Newspoll, 16 July 2026: One Nation 30.0% Roy Morgan, 19 July 2026: One Nation 22.5% Spectre Strategy, 23 July 2026: One Nation 26.0% Roy Morgan, 26 July 2026: One Nation 25.5% Essential, 27 July 2026: One Nation 25.0% YouGov, 28 July 2026: One Nation 25.0% RedBridge/Accent, 30 July 2026: One Nation 31.0% Roy Morgan, 2 August 2026: One Nation 24.0% Newspoll, 7 August 2026: One Nation 29.0% Roy Morgan, 9 August 2026: One Nation 26.0% YouGov, 10 August 2026: One Nation 24.0% Resolve, 15 August 2026: One Nation 26.0% Roy Morgan, 16 August 2026: One Nation 25.0% DemosAU, 20 August 2026: One Nation 24.0% Roy Morgan, 23 August 2026: One Nation 27.0% YouGov, 24 August 2026: One Nation 26.0% Newspoll, 28 August 2026: One Nation 30.0% RedBridge/Accent, 28 August 2026: One Nation 28.0% Roy Morgan, 30 August 2026: One Nation 23.5% Essential, 31 August 2026: One Nation 23.0% Roy Morgan, 6 September 2026: One Nation 26.5% YouGov, 8 September 2026: One Nation 30.0% Resolve, 12 September 2026: One Nation 27.0% Roy Morgan, 13 September 2026: One Nation 25.0% DemosAU, 14 September 2026: One Nation 26.0% Newspoll, 17 September 2026: One Nation 30.0% DemosAU, 19 September 2026: One Nation 26.0% Roy Morgan, 20 September 2026: One Nation 25.5% YouGov, 21 September 2026: One Nation 27.0% Roy Morgan, 27 September 2026: One Nation 25.5% Essential, 28 September 2026: One Nation 25.0% RedBridge/Accent, 2 October 2026: One Nation 29.0% YouGov, 6 October 2026: One Nation 28.0% Newspoll, 8 October 2026: One Nation 28.0% Resolve, 10 October 2026: One Nation 25.0% Roy Morgan, 11 October 2026: One Nation 24.0% YouGov, 20 October 2026: One Nation 27.0% Roy Morgan, 25 October 2026: One Nation 22.5% DemosAU, 26 October 2026: One Nation 26.0% Essential, 26 October 2026: One Nation 28.0% Newspoll, 29 October 2026: One Nation 28.0% YouGov, 3 November 2026: One Nation 27.0% Roy Morgan, 1 June 2025: Greens 11.5% Roy Morgan, 22 June 2025: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 29 June 2025: Greens 12.0% RedBridge/Accent, 30 June 2025: Greens 11.0% Spectre Strategy, 1 July 2025: Greens 12.8% DemosAU, 6 July 2025: Greens 14.0% Newspoll, 17 July 2025: Greens 12.0% Resolve, 18 July 2025: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 27 July 2025: Greens 12.0% Newspoll, 14 August 2025: Greens 12.0% Resolve, 16 August 2025: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 24 August 2025: Greens 12.0% RedBridge/Accent, 8 September 2025: Greens 11.0% Newspoll, 11 September 2025: Greens 13.0% Resolve, 13 September 2025: Greens 11.0% Roy Morgan, 21 September 2025: Greens 12.0% Essential, 29 September 2025: Greens 11.0% YouGov, 30 September 2025: Greens 12.0% Newspoll, 2 October 2025: Greens 12.0% RedBridge/Accent, 7 October 2025: Greens 11.0% Resolve, 12 October 2025: Greens 11.0% Roy Morgan, 19 October 2025: Greens 13.0% Freshwater, 20 October 2025: Greens 14.0% Essential, 27 October 2025: Greens 9.0% Newspoll, 30 October 2025: Greens 11.0% YouGov, 30 October 2025: Greens 12.0% Resolve, 8 November 2025: Greens 12.0% DemosAU, 11 November 2025: Greens 13.0% RedBridge/Accent, 13 November 2025: Greens 9.0% Roy Morgan, 16 November 2025: Greens 12.5% YouGov, 17 November 2025: Greens 12.0% Spectre Strategy, 17 November 2025: Greens 12.5% Newspoll, 20 November 2025: Greens 13.0% Essential, 24 November 2025: Greens 11.0% RedBridge/Accent, 26 November 2025: Greens 10.0% YouGov, 2 December 2025: Greens 13.0% Resolve, 7 December 2025: Greens 11.0% Essential, 8 December 2025: Greens 10.0% RedBridge/Accent, 12 December 2025: Greens 13.0% Roy Morgan, 14 December 2025: Greens 13.0% Resolve, 20 December 2025: Greens 12.0% YouGov, 23 December 2025: Greens 13.0% Fox & Hedgehog, 6 January 2026: Greens 14.0% DemosAU, 6 January 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 11 January 2026: Greens 13.5% Resolve, 16 January 2026: Greens 10.0% Newspoll, 16 January 2026: Greens 12.0% Freshwater, 18 January 2026: Greens 11.0% Roy Morgan, 18 January 2026: Greens 13.5% DemosAU, 21 January 2026: Greens 13.0% Essential, 23 January 2026: Greens 9.0% Roy Morgan, 25 January 2026: Greens 13.0% YouGov, 27 January 2026: Greens 12.0% RedBridge/Accent, 29 January 2026: Greens 11.0% Roy Morgan, 1 February 2026: Greens 12.5% Newspoll, 8 February 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 8 February 2026: Greens 13.5% YouGov, 10 February 2026: Greens 12.0% Resolve, 12 February 2026: Greens 12.0% RedBridge/Accent, 12 February 2026: Greens 11.0% Roy Morgan, 13 February 2026: Greens 13.0% Resolve, 14 February 2026: Greens 11.0% Roy Morgan, 16 February 2026: Greens 12.5% Fox & Hedgehog, 19 February 2026: Greens 12.0% DemosAU, 20 February 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 22 February 2026: Greens 12.5% Essential, 23 February 2026: Greens 11.0% YouGov, 24 February 2026: Greens 13.0% Newspoll, 26 February 2026: Greens 11.0% RedBridge/Accent, 27 February 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 1 March 2026: Greens 11.5% DemosAU, 3 March 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 8 March 2026: Greens 14.5% YouGov, 10 March 2026: Greens 13.0% Resolve, 14 March 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 15 March 2026: Greens 12.5% YouGov, 19 March 2026: Greens 13.0% Roy Morgan, 22 March 2026: Greens 13.5% Essential, 23 March 2026: Greens 10.0% YouGov, 24 March 2026: Greens 13.0% Fox & Hedgehog, 25 March 2026: Greens 13.0% Newspoll, 26 March 2026: Greens 12.0% RedBridge/Accent, 27 March 2026: Greens 13.0% Freshwater, 29 March 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 29 March 2026: Greens 13.5% Roy Morgan, 5 April 2026: Greens 12.0% YouGov, 7 April 2026: Greens 13.0% Spectre Strategy, 8 April 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 12 April 2026: Greens 12.5% DemosAU, 14 April 2026: Greens 13.0% Newspoll, 16 April 2026: Greens 13.0% Resolve, 18 April 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 19 April 2026: Greens 13.5% YouGov, 21 April 2026: Greens 14.0% Roy Morgan, 26 April 2026: Greens 14.0% Essential, 27 April 2026: Greens 11.0% RedBridge/Accent, 30 April 2026: Greens 13.0% Freshwater, 30 April 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 3 May 2026: Greens 13.0% YouGov, 5 May 2026: Greens 14.0% Roy Morgan, 10 May 2026: Greens 11.5% Wolf & Smith, 13 May 2026: Greens 11.0% Roy Morgan, 14 May 2026: Greens 11.5% RedBridge/Accent, 14 May 2026: Greens 11.0% Freshwater, 15 May 2026: Greens 11.0% Resolve, 16 May 2026: Greens 12.0% Newspoll, 17 May 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 17 May 2026: Greens 11.5% YouGov, 19 May 2026: Greens 13.0% DemosAU, 20 May 2026: Greens 13.0% Roy Morgan, 24 May 2026: Greens 13.5% Essential, 25 May 2026: Greens 11.0% Fox & Hedgehog, 26 May 2026: Greens 10.0% Agenda C Synesis, 26 May 2026: Greens 10.0% RedBridge/Accent, 28 May 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 31 May 2026: Greens 13.5% YouGov, 2 June 2026: Greens 13.0% Newspoll, 4 June 2026: Greens 11.0% Roy Morgan, 7 June 2026: Greens 15.5% Resolve, 13 June 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 14 June 2026: Greens 14.0% YouGov, 16 June 2026: Greens 13.0% DemosAU, 18 June 2026: Greens 13.0% Roy Morgan, 21 June 2026: Greens 13.5% Newspoll, 25 June 2026: Greens 13.0% RedBridge/Accent, 26 June 2026: Greens 14.0% Roy Morgan, 28 June 2026: Greens 13.0% Essential, 29 June 2026: Greens 10.0% YouGov, 30 June 2026: Greens 13.0% Roy Morgan, 5 July 2026: Greens 14.0% DemosAU, 8 July 2026: Greens 14.0% Resolve, 11 July 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 12 July 2026: Greens 12.5% YouGov, 14 July 2026: Greens 12.0% Newspoll, 16 July 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 19 July 2026: Greens 14.0% Spectre Strategy, 23 July 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 26 July 2026: Greens 14.0% Essential, 27 July 2026: Greens 12.0% YouGov, 28 July 2026: Greens 13.0% RedBridge/Accent, 30 July 2026: Greens 10.0% Roy Morgan, 2 August 2026: Greens 15.0% Newspoll, 7 August 2026: Greens 14.0% Roy Morgan, 9 August 2026: Greens 15.5% YouGov, 10 August 2026: Greens 12.0% Resolve, 15 August 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 16 August 2026: Greens 12.5% DemosAU, 20 August 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 23 August 2026: Greens 14.0% YouGov, 24 August 2026: Greens 12.0% Newspoll, 28 August 2026: Greens 13.0% RedBridge/Accent, 28 August 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 30 August 2026: Greens 13.5% Essential, 31 August 2026: Greens 13.0% Roy Morgan, 6 September 2026: Greens 14.5% YouGov, 8 September 2026: Greens 12.0% Resolve, 12 September 2026: Greens 11.0% Roy Morgan, 13 September 2026: Greens 16.0% DemosAU, 14 September 2026: Greens 13.0% Newspoll, 17 September 2026: Greens 13.0% DemosAU, 19 September 2026: Greens 13.0% Roy Morgan, 20 September 2026: Greens 15.5% YouGov, 21 September 2026: Greens 14.0% Roy Morgan, 27 September 2026: Greens 14.5% Essential, 28 September 2026: Greens 12.0% RedBridge/Accent, 2 October 2026: Greens 11.0% YouGov, 6 October 2026: Greens 15.0% Newspoll, 8 October 2026: Greens 14.0% Resolve, 10 October 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 11 October 2026: Greens 15.0% YouGov, 20 October 2026: Greens 14.0% Roy Morgan, 25 October 2026: Greens 15.5% DemosAU, 26 October 2026: Greens 13.0% Essential, 26 October 2026: Greens 12.0% Newspoll, 29 October 2026: Greens 13.0% YouGov, 3 November 2026: Greens 13.0% 13 May 2025 Sussan Ley elected as Leader of the Liberal Party and the Opposition, replacing Peter Dutton 20 May 2025 The Liberal/National Coalition is dissolved 27 November 2025 Barnaby Joyce resigns from the Nationals to sit as an independent 8 December 2025 Barnaby Joyce joins One Nation 22 January 2026 The Liberal–National Coalition is dissolved 8 February 2026 The Liberal–National Coalition is reunited 13 February 2026 Angus Taylor becomes leader of the Opposition after defeating Sussan Ley in a leadership spill 2 March 2026 The Strait of Hormuz is closed as part of the Iran war, triggering a fuel crisis in Australia 11 March 2026 David Littleproud resigns as leader of the National Party; Matt Canavan is elected leader 12 May 2026 The 2026 federal budget is presented by Treasurer Jim Chalmers 28 September 2026 Larissa Waters resigns as leader of the Greens; David Shoebridge is elected leader Primary (first-preference) vote. Coalition = Liberal + National where a pollster reports them separately. Numbered lines: events below. The latest poll from each pollster Pollster Fieldwork Sample ALP L/NP ONP GRN OTH Two-party-preferred YouGov 27 Oct–3 Nov 2026 1,500 25 23 27 13 12 Labor 50–Coalition 50; Labor 54–One Nation 46 Newspoll 26–29 Oct 2026 1,200 27 21 28 13 11 — DemosAU 23–26 Oct 2026 1,500 26 24 26 13 11 — Essential 21–26 Oct 2026 1,087 28 23 28 12 10 Labor 44–Coalition 52 Roy Morgan 12–25 Oct 2026 2,711 26 23.5 22.5 15.5 12.5 Labor 52.5–Coalition 47.5; Labor 55–One Nation 45 Resolve 6–10 Oct 2026 2,250 29 23 25 12 11 — RedBridge/Accent 28 Sep–2 Oct 2026 1,000 28 21 29 11 11 Labor 46–Coalition 54; Labor 52–One Nation 48 Spectre Strategy 11–23 Jul 2026 1,434 28 23 26 12 11 Labor 51–Coalition 49; Labor 54–One Nation 46
Polls with fieldwork ending from 1 June 2026. Figures as the pollster published them, in per cent. Source: Wikipedia: Opinion polling for the next Australian federal election (secondary), fetched 6 November 2026; each pollster links to its own release.
Polls and the law
No Australian law restricts publishing opinion polls before or on polling day, and there is no exit-poll embargo. No TV or radio election advertising from midnight on the Wednesday before polling day until the close of polls (Broadcasting Services Act 1992, Sch 2 cl 3A). Print, online and poll reporting are not restricted.
Victoria · state election Saturday 28 November 2026 · secondary: Wikipedia
The Victorianpolls. Labor 24.2% Coalition 30.2% Greens 13.9% One Nation 20.7% 0 10 20 30 40 April ’24 July ’24 October ’24 January ’25 April ’25 July ’25 October ’25 January ’26 April ’26 July ’26 October ’26 1 2 3 4 5 2022: Labor 37.0% RedBridge/Accent, 20 March 2024: Labor 36.0% Resolve, 24 March 2024: Labor 33.0% Resolve, 19 May 2024: Labor 28.0% RedBridge/Accent, 7 June 2024: Labor 35.0% Resolve, 14 July 2024: Labor 27.0% RedBridge/Accent, 5 August 2024: Labor 31.0% Wolf & Smith, 29 August 2024: Labor 28.0% Resolve, 7 September 2024: Labor 27.0% RedBridge/Accent, 18 September 2024: Labor 30.0% RedBridge/Accent, 3 October 2024: Labor 30.0% Resolve, 10 November 2024: Labor 28.0% RedBridge/Accent, 20 November 2024: Labor 30.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 21 March 2025: Labor 25.0% Resolve, 30 March 2025: Labor 24.0% RedBridge/Accent, 2 April 2025: Labor 29.0% Newspoll, 30 June 2025: Labor 35.0% RedBridge/Accent, 30 June 2025: Labor 33.0% Resolve, 17 August 2025: Labor 32.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 9 September 2025: Labor 26.0% RedBridge/Accent, 11 September 2025: Labor 32.0% Resolve, 12 October 2025: Labor 30.0% RedBridge/Accent, 14 October 2025: Labor 32.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 27 October 2025: Labor 26.0% Freshwater, 17 November 2025: Labor 30.0% Newspoll, 20 November 2025: Labor 28.0% Freshwater, 24 November 2025: Labor 30.0% Resolve, 7 December 2025: Labor 28.0% RedBridge/Accent, 8 December 2025: Labor 31.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 10 February 2026: Labor 23.0% Resolve, 14 February 2026: Labor 28.0% Roy Morgan, 16 February 2026: Labor 25.5% Freshwater, 23 February 2026: Labor 28.0% RedBridge/Accent, 27 February 2026: Labor 25.0% Freshwater, 23 March 2026: Labor 27.0% Roy Morgan, 24 April 2026: Labor 25.5% Freshwater, 8 June 2026: Labor 23.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 11 June 2026: Labor 21.0% RedBridge/Accent, 28 June 2026: Labor 26.0% YouGov, 10 July 2026: Labor 23.0% Resolve, 12 July 2026: Labor 27.0% RedBridge/Accent, 14 July 2026: Labor 26.0% Newspoll, 26 July 2026: Labor 28.0% RedBridge/Accent, 1 August 2026: Labor 23.0% Freshwater, 3 August 2026: Labor 25.0% Roy Morgan, 7 August 2026: Labor 26.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 11 August 2026: Labor 23.0% Resolve, 16 August 2026: Labor 25.0% Resolve, 13 September 2026: Labor 25.0% RedBridge/Accent, 14 September 2026: Labor 24.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 20 September 2026: Labor 25.0% Freshwater, 28 September 2026: Labor 24.0% RedBridge/Accent, 8 October 2026: Labor 24.0% Roy Morgan, 9 October 2026: Labor 22.5% Newspoll, 22 October 2026: Labor 24.0% Online Research Unit, 26 October 2026: Labor 25.0% Roy Morgan, 29 October 2026: Labor 22.5% RedBridge/Accent, 20 March 2024: Coalition 38.0% Resolve, 24 March 2024: Coalition 35.0% Resolve, 19 May 2024: Coalition 37.0% RedBridge/Accent, 7 June 2024: Coalition 38.0% Resolve, 14 July 2024: Coalition 37.0% RedBridge/Accent, 5 August 2024: Coalition 40.0% Wolf & Smith, 29 August 2024: Coalition 40.0% Resolve, 7 September 2024: Coalition 37.0% RedBridge/Accent, 18 September 2024: Coalition 40.0% RedBridge/Accent, 3 October 2024: Coalition 40.0% Resolve, 10 November 2024: Coalition 38.0% RedBridge/Accent, 20 November 2024: Coalition 43.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 21 March 2025: Coalition 39.0% Resolve, 30 March 2025: Coalition 41.0% RedBridge/Accent, 2 April 2025: Coalition 41.0% Newspoll, 30 June 2025: Coalition 35.0% RedBridge/Accent, 30 June 2025: Coalition 38.0% Resolve, 17 August 2025: Coalition 33.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 9 September 2025: Coalition 38.0% RedBridge/Accent, 11 September 2025: Coalition 37.0% Resolve, 12 October 2025: Coalition 33.0% RedBridge/Accent, 14 October 2025: Coalition 37.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 27 October 2025: Coalition 37.0% Freshwater, 17 November 2025: Coalition 37.0% Newspoll, 20 November 2025: Coalition 36.0% Freshwater, 24 November 2025: Coalition 37.0% Resolve, 7 December 2025: Coalition 39.0% RedBridge/Accent, 8 December 2025: Coalition 40.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 10 February 2026: Coalition 29.0% Resolve, 14 February 2026: Coalition 30.0% Roy Morgan, 16 February 2026: Coalition 21.5% Freshwater, 23 February 2026: Coalition 27.0% RedBridge/Accent, 27 February 2026: Coalition 28.0% Freshwater, 23 March 2026: Coalition 30.0% Roy Morgan, 24 April 2026: Coalition 24.0% Freshwater, 8 June 2026: Coalition 27.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 11 June 2026: Coalition 30.0% RedBridge/Accent, 28 June 2026: Coalition 26.0% YouGov, 10 July 2026: Coalition 26.0% Resolve, 12 July 2026: Coalition 27.0% RedBridge/Accent, 14 July 2026: Coalition 26.0% Newspoll, 26 July 2026: Coalition 31.0% RedBridge/Accent, 1 August 2026: Coalition 30.0% Freshwater, 3 August 2026: Coalition 30.0% Roy Morgan, 7 August 2026: Coalition 26.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 11 August 2026: Coalition 32.0% Resolve, 16 August 2026: Coalition 27.0% Resolve, 13 September 2026: Coalition 28.0% RedBridge/Accent, 14 September 2026: Coalition 29.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 20 September 2026: Coalition 30.0% Freshwater, 28 September 2026: Coalition 29.0% RedBridge/Accent, 8 October 2026: Coalition 30.0% Roy Morgan, 9 October 2026: Coalition 26.0% Newspoll, 22 October 2026: Coalition 33.0% Online Research Unit, 26 October 2026: Coalition 32.0% Roy Morgan, 29 October 2026: Coalition 29.5% RedBridge/Accent, 20 March 2024: Greens 10.0% Resolve, 24 March 2024: Greens 13.0% Resolve, 19 May 2024: Greens 13.0% RedBridge/Accent, 7 June 2024: Greens 14.0% Resolve, 14 July 2024: Greens 15.0% RedBridge/Accent, 5 August 2024: Greens 12.0% Wolf & Smith, 29 August 2024: Greens 14.0% Resolve, 7 September 2024: Greens 14.0% RedBridge/Accent, 18 September 2024: Greens 12.0% RedBridge/Accent, 3 October 2024: Greens 12.0% Resolve, 10 November 2024: Greens 13.0% RedBridge/Accent, 20 November 2024: Greens 14.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 21 March 2025: Greens 15.0% Resolve, 30 March 2025: Greens 14.0% RedBridge/Accent, 2 April 2025: Greens 13.0% Newspoll, 30 June 2025: Greens 12.0% RedBridge/Accent, 30 June 2025: Greens 14.0% Resolve, 17 August 2025: Greens 12.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 9 September 2025: Greens 15.0% RedBridge/Accent, 11 September 2025: Greens 13.0% Resolve, 12 October 2025: Greens 12.0% RedBridge/Accent, 14 October 2025: Greens 13.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 27 October 2025: Greens 15.0% Freshwater, 17 November 2025: Greens 15.0% Newspoll, 20 November 2025: Greens 14.0% Freshwater, 24 November 2025: Greens 15.0% Resolve, 7 December 2025: Greens 12.0% RedBridge/Accent, 8 December 2025: Greens 12.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 10 February 2026: Greens 15.0% Resolve, 14 February 2026: Greens 12.0% Roy Morgan, 16 February 2026: Greens 13.5% Freshwater, 23 February 2026: Greens 13.0% RedBridge/Accent, 27 February 2026: Greens 13.0% Freshwater, 23 March 2026: Greens 14.0% Roy Morgan, 24 April 2026: Greens 13.5% Freshwater, 8 June 2026: Greens 14.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 11 June 2026: Greens 15.0% RedBridge/Accent, 28 June 2026: Greens 13.0% YouGov, 10 July 2026: Greens 13.0% Resolve, 12 July 2026: Greens 12.0% RedBridge/Accent, 14 July 2026: Greens 12.0% Newspoll, 26 July 2026: Greens 13.0% RedBridge/Accent, 1 August 2026: Greens 14.0% Freshwater, 3 August 2026: Greens 14.0% Roy Morgan, 7 August 2026: Greens 12.5% DemosAU/Premier National, 11 August 2026: Greens 13.0% Resolve, 16 August 2026: Greens 12.0% Resolve, 13 September 2026: Greens 12.0% RedBridge/Accent, 14 September 2026: Greens 15.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 20 September 2026: Greens 14.0% Freshwater, 28 September 2026: Greens 14.0% RedBridge/Accent, 8 October 2026: Greens 16.0% Roy Morgan, 9 October 2026: Greens 14.0% Newspoll, 22 October 2026: Greens 14.0% Online Research Unit, 26 October 2026: Greens 15.0% Roy Morgan, 29 October 2026: Greens 12.5% DemosAU/Premier National, 10 February 2026: One Nation 21.0% Resolve, 14 February 2026: One Nation 11.0% Roy Morgan, 16 February 2026: One Nation 26.5% Freshwater, 23 February 2026: One Nation 23.0% RedBridge/Accent, 27 February 2026: One Nation 24.0% Freshwater, 23 March 2026: One Nation 20.0% Roy Morgan, 24 April 2026: One Nation 24.5% Freshwater, 8 June 2026: One Nation 25.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 11 June 2026: One Nation 23.0% RedBridge/Accent, 28 June 2026: One Nation 27.0% YouGov, 10 July 2026: One Nation 24.0% Resolve, 12 July 2026: One Nation 22.0% RedBridge/Accent, 14 July 2026: One Nation 27.0% Newspoll, 26 July 2026: One Nation 19.0% RedBridge/Accent, 1 August 2026: One Nation 22.0% Freshwater, 3 August 2026: One Nation 22.0% Roy Morgan, 7 August 2026: One Nation 23.5% DemosAU/Premier National, 11 August 2026: One Nation 22.0% Resolve, 16 August 2026: One Nation 23.0% Resolve, 13 September 2026: One Nation 23.0% RedBridge/Accent, 14 September 2026: One Nation 25.0% DemosAU/Premier National, 20 September 2026: One Nation 20.0% Freshwater, 28 September 2026: One Nation 22.0% RedBridge/Accent, 8 October 2026: One Nation 24.0% Roy Morgan, 9 October 2026: One Nation 25.0% Newspoll, 22 October 2026: One Nation 20.0% Online Research Unit, 26 October 2026: One Nation 14.0% Roy Morgan, 29 October 2026: One Nation 22.0% 23 April 2024 Ellen Sandell becomes Greens leader 27 December 2024 Brad Battin becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition 18 November 2025 Jess Wilson is elected Liberal leader and leader of the Opposition 28 July 2026 Jacinta Allan resigns as leader of the Labor Party and premier; Ben Carroll is elected leader and premier 3 August 2026 Warren Pickering becomes state leader of One Nation Legislative Assembly primary vote, 56 polls; lines: 8-week average. 2022 result (VEC): Labor 37.0%, Liberal and Nationals 34.7%, Greens 11.5%; two-party-preferred Labor 55.0%. Pollster Fieldwork ALP L/NP ONP GRN Two-party-preferred Roy Morgan 26–29 Oct 2026 22.5 29.5 22 12.5 Labor 44–Coalition 56; Labor 54.5–One Nation 45.5; Coalition 74–One Nation 26 Online Research Unit 14–26 Oct 2026 25 32 14 15 Labor 46–Coalition 54 Newspoll 15–22 Oct 2026 24 33 20 14 Labor 45–Coalition 55 Roy Morgan 8–9 Oct 2026 22.5 26 25 14 Labor 45–Coalition 55 RedBridge/Accent 2–8 Oct 2026 24 30 24 16 Labor 44–Coalition 56; Labor 55–One Nation 45 Freshwater 24–28 Sept 2026 24 29 22 14 Labor 47–Coalition 53 DemosAU/Premier National 10–20 Sept 2026 25 30 20 14 Labor 48–Coalition 52 RedBridge/Accent 1–14 Sept 2026 24 29 25 15 Labor 44–Coalition 56; Labor 53–One Nation 47
Source: Wikipedia: Opinion polling for the 2026 Victorian state election (secondary). Results on the night: /au/live.