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✶ Parties & polls · partidos políticos nacionales

Eight parties
for 2027.

Six parties kept their national registry after the election of 2 June 2024: PAN, PRI, PT, PVEM, Movimiento Ciudadano and Morena. The PRD fell under 3% of the vote and lost its registry. On 25 June 2026 INE registered two more, SOMOS and PAZ, with effect from 1 July 2026. All eight will be on the ballot for the Chamber of Deputies on 6 June 2027.

2 June 2024 · Chamber, Senate and presidency

Votes
and seats.

Party Coalition Chamber votes Share Deputies MR + RP Senators Deputies now Senators now
Morena Sigamos Haciendo Historia 24,277,957 42.44% 161 + 75 = 236 60 254 66
PAN Fuerza y Corazón por México 10,046,629 17.56% 32 + 40 = 72 22 69 21
PRI Fuerza y Corazón por México 6,622,242 11.58% 9 + 26 = 35 16 36 13
MC ran alone 6,495,521 11.35% 1 + 26 = 27 5 29 6
PVEM Sigamos Haciendo Historia 4,992,286 8.73% 57 + 20 = 77 14 62 14
PT Sigamos Haciendo Historia 3,253,564 5.69% 38 + 13 = 51 9 49 6
PRD Fuerza y Corazón por México 1,449,176 2.53% 1 + 0 = 1 2 — —

Chamber votes and share of the votación válida emitida: INE/CG2129/2024. Seats as allocated on 23 August 2024 (INE/CG2129/2024 and INE/CG2130/2024; one independent deputy). "Now": parliamentary groups on 5 November 2026; members change groups, so the groups differ from the parties that won the seats (Senate groups from Wikipedia, secondary). How the seats were shared.

Registered with INE · 5 November 2026

The national parties
and their leaders.

  • PAN

    Partido Acción Nacional

    National Action Party

    Leader
    Jorge Romero Herrera · President of the National Executive Committee, since 10 November 2024
    Founded · registry
    1939
    Position
    Centre-right
    2024
    17.6% of the Chamber vote · 72 deputies · 22 senators

    Founded 16 September 1939; Christian-democratic and conservative; held the presidency 2000–2012.

  • PRI

    Partido Revolucionario Institucional

    Institutional Revolutionary Party

    Leader
    Alejandro Moreno Cárdenas · National president, since 18 August 2019
    Founded · registry
    1929
    Position
    Centre
    2024
    11.6% of the Chamber vote · 35 deputies · 16 senators

    Founded as the PNR in 1929, renamed PRM in 1938 and PRI in 1946; held the presidency without interruption 1929–2000 and again 2012–2018.

  • PT

    Partido del Trabajo

    Labour Party

    Leader
    Alberto Anaya Gutiérrez · National coordinating commission, since 8 December 1990
    Founded · registry
    1990 · 1993
    Position
    Left
    2024
    5.7% of the Chamber vote · 51 deputies · 9 senators

    Founded 8 December 1990; left-wing; allied with Morena since 2018.

  • PVEM

    Partido Verde Ecologista de México

    Ecologist Green Party of Mexico

    Leader
    Karen Castrejón Trujillo · National spokesperson / leader, since 2020
    Founded · registry
    1986 · 1993
    Position
    Big tent
    2024
    8.7% of the Chamber vote · 77 deputies · 14 senators

    Founded 1986 as Partido Verde Mexicano, renamed 1991; green label; allied with the PRI (2003–2018) and with Morena since 2018.

  • MC

    Movimiento Ciudadano

    Citizens' Movement

    Leader
    Jorge Álvarez Máynez · National coordinator, since 5 December 2024
    Founded · registry
    1999 · 1999
    Position
    Centre-left
    2024
    11.4% of the Chamber vote · 27 deputies · 5 senators

    Founded 1999 as Convergencia por la Democracia (Convergencia from 2002, Movimiento Ciudadano from 2011); ran alone in 2024.

  • Morena

    Morena (Movimiento Regeneración Nacional)

    National Regeneration Movement

    Leader
    Ariadna Montiel Reyes · National president, since 3 May 2026
    Founded · registry
    2014 · 2014
    Position
    Left
    2024
    42.4% of the Chamber vote · 236 deputies · 60 senators

    Founded by Andrés Manuel López Obrador as a civil association (2011) and registered as a party in 2014; holds the presidency since 2018.

  • PAZ

    Partido PAZ

    PAZ Party

    Leader
    Hugo Eric Flores Cervantes · Leader, since July 2026
    Founded · registry
    2026 · 2026
    Position
    Right
    2024
    Not yet registered

    Registered 25 June 2026 (effective 1 July) from the organisation Construyendo Sociedades de Paz; socially conservative agenda, successor to the base of the former PES.

  • SOMOS

    SOMOS

    Leader
    Guadalupe Acosta Naranjo · National president, since 1 July 2026
    Founded · registry
    2026 · 2026
    Position
    Centre-left
    2024
    Not yet registered

    Registered 25 June 2026 (effective 1 July) as Somos México from the organisation Personas Sumando en 2025; renamed SOMOS on 1 September 2026 after a TEPJF ruling; opposition to Morena.

Leaders, founding and registry: src/data/mexico/parties.ts, from INE and press reports; positions are general classifications, not assessments.

Registry · CPEUM art. 41 base I · LGPP arts. 10–19, 94

3% to stay,
assemblies to join.

Losing the registry

A national party that does not win at least 3% of the votación válida emitida in one of the federal elections, for deputies, senators or President, loses its registry (CPEUM art. 41 base I; LGPP art. 94.1 b–c). The rule applies party by party, also inside a coalition. Other causes: not taking part in an ordinary election, ceasing to meet the requirements, grave and systematic breaches of electoral law, dissolution or merger.

In 2024 the PRD won 2.53% for deputies, 2.37% for the Senate list and 1.91% for President. INE declared the loss of its registry in September 2024. Founded 5 May 1989 from the 1988 Cárdenas front and the PMS; main left party 1989–2014; lost national registry after the 2024 election (it survives as a local party in several states).

Gaining one

An organisation of citizens gives notice in the January after a presidential election (LGPP art. 11), then holds assemblies certified by INE: 3,000 members in at least 20 states, or 300 in at least 200 districts, and never fewer than 0.26% of the padrón used in the last federal election (art. 10.2 b). INE decides within 60 days; a new registry takes effect on 1 July of the year before the election (art. 19). A new party may not form a coalition before its first election (art. 85.4).

In the 2025–26 round, SOMOS (registered as Somos México, renamed in September 2026 after a Tribunal ruling) and Partido PAZ were registered; México Tiene Vida and Que Siga la Democracia were refused. Each must reach 3% on its own in 2027. INE, 1 July 2026 ↗

Parties that lost national registry since 1991

PartyFoundedRegistry lostNote
PRD Partido de la Revolución Democrática 1989 2024 Founded 5 May 1989 from the 1988 Cárdenas front and the PMS; main left party 1989–2014; lost national registry after the 2024 election (it survives as a local party in several states).
PES Partido Encuentro Solidario 2020 2021 Registered 2020 as the re-founded Encuentro Social; lost registry after the 2021 election.
RSP Redes Sociales Progresistas 2020 2021 Registered 2020; lost registry after the 2021 election.
FxM Fuerza por México 2020 2021 Registered 2020; lost registry after the 2021 election (continues as local parties in some states).
PES Partido Encuentro Social 2006 2018 National registry 2014; part of the 2018 Juntos Haremos Historia coalition; lost registry after 2018.
PANAL Nueva Alianza 2005 2018 Registered 2005, linked to the teachers' union SNTE; lost registry after the 2018 election.
PH Partido Humanista 2014 2015 Registered 2014; lost registry after the 2015 election.
PSD Partido Socialdemócrata 2005 2009 Registered 2005 as Alternativa Socialdemócrata y Campesina (ASDC), renamed PSD 2008; lost registry 2009.
PSN Partido de la Sociedad Nacionalista 1998 2003 Registered 1999; part of the 2000 Alianza por México; lost registry 2003.
PAS Partido Alianza Social 1998 2003 Registered 1999; part of the 2000 Alianza por México; lost registry 2003.
DS Democracia Social 1999 2000 Ran Gilberto Rincón Gallardo for president in 2000; lost registry 2000.
PCD Partido del Centro Democrático 1999 2000 Ran Manuel Camacho Solís for president in 2000; lost registry 2000.
PARM Partido Auténtico de la Revolución Mexicana 1954 2000 Usually backed PRI presidential candidates until it joined Cárdenas's front in 1988; lost its registry for the last time in 2000.
PPS Partido Popular Socialista 1948 1997 Founded 1948 by Vicente Lombardo Toledano as Partido Popular (PPS from 1960); usually backed PRI presidential candidates until 1988; lost registry 1997.
PFCRN Partido del Frente Cardenista de Reconstrucción Nacional 1987 1997 Successor of the PST (renamed 1987); part of the 1988 Cárdenas front; lost registry 1997.
PDM Partido Demócrata Mexicano 1971 1997 Sinarquista-rooted; registered 1978 under the 1977 reform; lost registry for the last time in 1997.
PRT Partido Revolucionario de los Trabajadores 1976 1991 Trotskyist; ran Rosario Ibarra for president in 1982 and 1988; lost registry 1991.

List: INE, partidos que perdieron el registro ↗ and src/data/mexico/parties.ts.

Polls · approval and voting intention

What the
pollsters say.

Mexican pollsters publish raw voting intention, with undecided voters in the base, so their figures do not add up to 100 and differ by house. Rows are as compiled on Wikipedia from each pollster's release (secondary), with a link to the release or, where marked, to a press report. Publication stops three days before polling day (LGIPE art. 213.2); this page hides the polls in that window too.

President Sheinbaum's approval

40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Oct 2024 Jan 2025 Apr 2025 Jul 2025 Oct 2025 Jan 2026 Apr 2026 Jul 2026 Oct 2026 El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 31 Oct 2024 · 70% approve, 24% disapprove El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 22 Nov 2024 · 69% approve, 23% disapprove · press report (secondary) El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 31 Dec 2024 · 78% approve, 18% disapprove Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 5 Jan 2025 · 80% approve, 16% disapprove El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 27 Jan 2025 · 81% approve, 15% disapprove El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 24 Feb 2025 · 85% approve, 15% disapprove El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 23 Mar 2025 · 83% approve, 15% disapprove Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 23 Mar 2025 · 82% approve, 15% disapprove Becerra Mizuno y Asociados (for Latinus) · 1 Apr 2025 · 80% approve, 15% disapprove · press report (secondary) El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 28 Apr 2025 · 81% approve, 18% disapprove El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 20 May 2025 · 77% approve, 22% disapprove Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 20 May 2025 · 83% approve, 15% disapprove El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 23 Jun 2025 · 76% approve, 22% disapprove Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 22 Jul 2025 · 80% approve, 17% disapprove El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 28 Jul 2025 · 75% approve, 24% disapprove Consulta Mitofsky (for El Economista) · 31 Jul 2025 · 69.2% approve, 30.5% disapprove · press report (secondary) El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 25 Aug 2025 · 74% approve, 26% disapprove Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 27 Aug 2025 · 79% approve, 18% disapprove Consulta Mitofsky (for El Economista) · 31 Aug 2025 · 71.4% approve, 28.5% disapprove · press report (secondary) Varela y Asociados · 12 Sep 2025 · 68% approve, 29% disapprove El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 22 Sep 2025 · 73% approve, 27% disapprove Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 26 Sep 2025 · 78% approve, 18% disapprove Consulta Mitofsky (for El Economista) · 30 Sep 2025 · 71.6% approve, 28.2% disapprove · press report (secondary) El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 28 Oct 2025 · 70% approve, 30% disapprove Consulta Mitofsky (for El Economista) · 31 Oct 2025 · 71.5% approve, 25.7% disapprove · press report (secondary) El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 24 Nov 2025 · 70% approve, 30% disapprove Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 1 Dec 2025 · 74% approve, 24% disapprove El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 17 Dec 2025 · 69% approve, 31% disapprove AtlasIntel (Latam Pulse, with Bloomberg) · 20 Jan 2026 · 62.8% approve, 30.5% disapprove El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 21 Jan 2026 · 69% approve, 30% disapprove Consulta Mitofsky (for El Economista) · 31 Jan 2026 · 69.2% approve, 30.6% disapprove AtlasIntel (Latam Pulse, with Bloomberg) · 24 Feb 2026 · 56% approve, 36.1% disapprove El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 27 Feb 2026 · 72% approve, 28% disapprove Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 28 Feb 2026 · 75% approve, 20% disapprove Consulta Mitofsky (for El Economista) · 28 Feb 2026 · 69.1% approve, 30.8% disapprove El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 22 Mar 2026 · 70% approve, 29% disapprove AtlasIntel (Latam Pulse, with Bloomberg) · 24 Mar 2026 · 53.9% approve, 40.9% disapprove · press report (secondary) Varela y Asociados · 28 Mar 2026 · 60% approve, 36% disapprove Consulta Mitofsky (for El Economista) · 31 Mar 2026 · 68.4% approve, 31.2% disapprove AtlasIntel (Latam Pulse, with Bloomberg) · 28 Apr 2026 · 50.7% approve, 42.7% disapprove El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 28 Apr 2026 · 68% approve, 32% disapprove Becerra Mizuno y Asociados (for Latinus) · 12 May 2026 · 59% approve, 39% disapprove · press report (secondary) Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 19 May 2026 · 68% approve, 27% disapprove AtlasIntel (Latam Pulse, with Bloomberg) · 25 May 2026 · 52.8% approve, 38.1% disapprove El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 25 May 2026 · 69% approve, 31% disapprove Varela y Asociados · 31 May 2026 · 57% approve, 37% disapprove El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 28 Jun 2026 · 68% approve, 32% disapprove AtlasIntel (Latam Pulse, with Bloomberg) · 30 Jun 2026 · 48.9% approve, 37.7% disapprove El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 25 Jul 2026 · 67% approve, 33% disapprove AtlasIntel (Latam Pulse, with Bloomberg) · 3 Aug 2026 · 57.2% approve, 33.3% disapprove El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 23 Aug 2026 · 68% approve, 32% disapprove Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 29 Aug 2026 · 69% approve, 26% disapprove AtlasIntel (Latam Pulse, with Bloomberg) · 3 Sep 2026 · 59% approve, 34.5% disapprove El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 20 Sep 2026 · 70% approve, 30% disapprove AtlasIntel (Latam Pulse, with Bloomberg) · 7 Oct 2026 · 57.4% approve, 28.9% disapprove El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 20 Oct 2026 · 69% approve, 31% disapprove 63%
Dots: one published poll (hollow: the source is a press report, secondary) · line: mean of the polls with fieldwork ending in each month · 56 polls from 6 pollsters
PollsterFieldworkApproveDisapproveSource
El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · Monthly national telephone survey, ~800–1,000 adults 15 Oct 2026–20 Oct 2026 69% 31% pollster ↗
AtlasIntel (Latam Pulse, with Bloomberg) · Online random digital recruitment 2 Oct 2026–7 Oct 2026 57.4% 28.9% pollster ↗
Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · National face-to-face survey 25 Aug 2026–29 Aug 2026 69% 26% pollster ↗

Voting intention, Chamber of Deputies 2027

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Apr 2025Jul 2025Oct 2025Jan 2026Apr 2026Jul 2026Oct 2026Oct 2026 Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 18 Feb 2025 · PAN 7% as published, 8.9% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 18 Feb 2025 · PRI 8% as published, 10.1% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 18 Feb 2025 · PVEM 5% as published, 6.3% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 18 Feb 2025 · PT 3% as published, 3.8% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 18 Feb 2025 · MC 10% as published, 12.7% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 18 Feb 2025 · Morena 46% as published, 58.2% normalised Becerra Mizuno y Asociados (for Latinus) · 1 Apr 2025 · PAN 11% as published, 11.0% normalised Becerra Mizuno y Asociados (for Latinus) · 1 Apr 2025 · PRI 10% as published, 10.0% normalised Becerra Mizuno y Asociados (for Latinus) · 1 Apr 2025 · PVEM 8% as published, 8.0% normalised Becerra Mizuno y Asociados (for Latinus) · 1 Apr 2025 · PT 4% as published, 4.0% normalised Becerra Mizuno y Asociados (for Latinus) · 1 Apr 2025 · MC 12% as published, 12.0% normalised Becerra Mizuno y Asociados (for Latinus) · 1 Apr 2025 · Morena 55% as published, 55.0% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 20 May 2025 · PAN 10% as published, 12.7% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 20 May 2025 · PRI 9% as published, 11.4% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 20 May 2025 · PVEM 5% as published, 6.3% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 20 May 2025 · PT 3% as published, 3.8% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 20 May 2025 · MC 9% as published, 11.4% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 20 May 2025 · Morena 43% as published, 54.4% normalised El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 9 Jun 2025 · PAN 9% as published, 11.7% normalised El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 9 Jun 2025 · PRI 8% as published, 10.4% normalised El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 9 Jun 2025 · PVEM 2% as published, 2.6% normalised El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 9 Jun 2025 · PT 2% as published, 2.6% normalised El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 9 Jun 2025 · MC 5% as published, 6.5% normalised El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 9 Jun 2025 · Morena 51% as published, 66.2% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 19 Aug 2025 · PAN 11% as published, 13.9% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 19 Aug 2025 · PRI 8% as published, 10.1% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 19 Aug 2025 · PVEM 4% as published, 5.1% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 19 Aug 2025 · PT 3% as published, 3.8% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 19 Aug 2025 · MC 8% as published, 10.1% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 19 Aug 2025 · Morena 45% as published, 57.0% normalised Varela y Asociados · 12 Sep 2025 · PAN 15% as published, 20.0% normalised Varela y Asociados · 12 Sep 2025 · PRI 6% as published, 8.0% normalised Varela y Asociados · 12 Sep 2025 · PVEM 1% as published, 1.3% normalised Varela y Asociados · 12 Sep 2025 · PT 2% as published, 2.7% normalised Varela y Asociados · 12 Sep 2025 · MC 11% as published, 14.7% normalised Varela y Asociados · 12 Sep 2025 · Morena 40% as published, 53.3% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 26 Sep 2025 · PAN 11% as published, 13.9% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 26 Sep 2025 · PRI 5% as published, 6.3% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 26 Sep 2025 · PVEM 3% as published, 3.8% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 26 Sep 2025 · PT 3% as published, 3.8% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 26 Sep 2025 · MC 9% as published, 11.4% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 26 Sep 2025 · Morena 48% as published, 60.8% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 19 Oct 2025 · PAN 12.2% as published, 15.4% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 19 Oct 2025 · PRI 7.8% as published, 9.8% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 19 Oct 2025 · PVEM 3.1% as published, 3.9% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 19 Oct 2025 · PT 2.3% as published, 2.9% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 19 Oct 2025 · MC 8.2% as published, 10.3% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 19 Oct 2025 · Morena 45.8% as published, 57.7% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 24 Nov 2025 · PAN 15.9% as published, 18.6% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 24 Nov 2025 · PRI 6.8% as published, 8.0% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 24 Nov 2025 · PVEM 2.1% as published, 2.5% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 24 Nov 2025 · PT 3% as published, 3.5% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 24 Nov 2025 · MC 11.5% as published, 13.5% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 24 Nov 2025 · Morena 46% as published, 53.9% normalised Gobernarte · 18 Jan 2026 · PAN 11.3% as published, 13.6% normalised Gobernarte · 18 Jan 2026 · PRI 9.8% as published, 11.8% normalised Gobernarte · 18 Jan 2026 · PVEM 1% as published, 1.2% normalised Gobernarte · 18 Jan 2026 · PT 3% as published, 3.6% normalised Gobernarte · 18 Jan 2026 · MC 8.7% as published, 10.5% normalised Gobernarte · 18 Jan 2026 · Morena 49.3% as published, 59.3% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 17 Feb 2026 · PAN 14% as published, 17.9% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 17 Feb 2026 · PRI 8% as published, 10.3% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 17 Feb 2026 · PVEM 7% as published, 9.0% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 17 Feb 2026 · PT 3% as published, 3.8% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 17 Feb 2026 · MC 12% as published, 15.4% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 17 Feb 2026 · Morena 34% as published, 43.6% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 28 Feb 2026 · PAN 14% as published, 18.2% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 28 Feb 2026 · PRI 7% as published, 9.1% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 28 Feb 2026 · PVEM 3% as published, 3.9% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 28 Feb 2026 · PT 2% as published, 2.6% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 28 Feb 2026 · MC 9% as published, 11.7% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 28 Feb 2026 · Morena 42% as published, 54.5% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 28 Feb 2026 · PAN 17.9% as published, 21.1% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 28 Feb 2026 · PRI 7% as published, 8.2% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 28 Feb 2026 · PVEM 3.8% as published, 4.5% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 28 Feb 2026 · PT 1.7% as published, 2.0% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 28 Feb 2026 · MC 13.7% as published, 16.1% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 28 Feb 2026 · Morena 40.9% as published, 48.1% normalised Varela y Asociados · 28 Mar 2026 · PAN 11% as published, 18.0% normalised Varela y Asociados · 28 Mar 2026 · PRI 9% as published, 14.8% normalised Varela y Asociados · 28 Mar 2026 · PVEM 3% as published, 4.9% normalised Varela y Asociados · 28 Mar 2026 · PT 2% as published, 3.3% normalised Varela y Asociados · 28 Mar 2026 · MC 7% as published, 11.5% normalised Varela y Asociados · 28 Mar 2026 · Morena 29% as published, 47.5% normalised Electoralia · 30 Mar 2026 · PAN 20% as published, 24.1% normalised Electoralia · 30 Mar 2026 · PRI 6% as published, 7.2% normalised Electoralia · 30 Mar 2026 · PVEM 1% as published, 1.2% normalised Electoralia · 30 Mar 2026 · PT 1% as published, 1.2% normalised Electoralia · 30 Mar 2026 · MC 9% as published, 10.8% normalised Electoralia · 30 Mar 2026 · Morena 46% as published, 55.4% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 9 Apr 2026 · PAN 13.8% as published, 15.7% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 9 Apr 2026 · PRI 10.5% as published, 12.0% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 9 Apr 2026 · PVEM 1.4% as published, 1.6% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 9 Apr 2026 · PT 1.3% as published, 1.5% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 9 Apr 2026 · MC 11.7% as published, 13.3% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 9 Apr 2026 · Morena 49.1% as published, 55.9% normalised Electoralia · 2 May 2026 · PAN 19% as published, 23.2% normalised Electoralia · 2 May 2026 · PRI 7% as published, 8.5% normalised Electoralia · 2 May 2026 · PVEM 1% as published, 1.2% normalised Electoralia · 2 May 2026 · PT 1% as published, 1.2% normalised Electoralia · 2 May 2026 · MC 9% as published, 11.0% normalised Electoralia · 2 May 2026 · Morena 45% as published, 54.9% normalised Becerra Mizuno y Asociados (for Latinus) · 12 May 2026 · PAN 18% as published, 18.0% normalised Becerra Mizuno y Asociados (for Latinus) · 12 May 2026 · PRI 13% as published, 13.0% normalised Becerra Mizuno y Asociados (for Latinus) · 12 May 2026 · PVEM 9% as published, 9.0% normalised Becerra Mizuno y Asociados (for Latinus) · 12 May 2026 · PT 4% as published, 4.0% normalised Becerra Mizuno y Asociados (for Latinus) · 12 May 2026 · MC 15% as published, 15.0% normalised Becerra Mizuno y Asociados (for Latinus) · 12 May 2026 · Morena 41% as published, 41.0% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 19 May 2026 · PAN 12% as published, 15.6% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 19 May 2026 · PRI 8% as published, 10.4% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 19 May 2026 · PVEM 5% as published, 6.5% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 19 May 2026 · PT 1% as published, 1.3% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 19 May 2026 · MC 12% as published, 15.6% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 19 May 2026 · Morena 39% as published, 50.6% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 21 May 2026 · PAN 11% as published, 14.1% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 21 May 2026 · PRI 10% as published, 12.8% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 21 May 2026 · PVEM 6% as published, 7.7% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 21 May 2026 · PT 3% as published, 3.8% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 21 May 2026 · MC 9% as published, 11.5% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 21 May 2026 · Morena 39% as published, 50.0% normalised Varela y Asociados · 31 May 2026 · PAN 9% as published, 17.0% normalised Varela y Asociados · 31 May 2026 · PRI 8% as published, 15.1% normalised Varela y Asociados · 31 May 2026 · PVEM 3% as published, 5.7% normalised Varela y Asociados · 31 May 2026 · PT 1% as published, 1.9% normalised Varela y Asociados · 31 May 2026 · MC 5% as published, 9.4% normalised Varela y Asociados · 31 May 2026 · Morena 27% as published, 50.9% normalised De las Heras Demotecnia · 8 Jun 2026 · PAN 9% as published, 11.8% normalised De las Heras Demotecnia · 8 Jun 2026 · PRI 9% as published, 11.8% normalised De las Heras Demotecnia · 8 Jun 2026 · PVEM 5% as published, 6.6% normalised De las Heras Demotecnia · 8 Jun 2026 · PT 2% as published, 2.6% normalised De las Heras Demotecnia · 8 Jun 2026 · MC 7% as published, 9.2% normalised De las Heras Demotecnia · 8 Jun 2026 · Morena 44% as published, 57.9% normalised Gobernarte · 24 Jun 2026 · PAN 15.5% as published, 18.0% normalised Gobernarte · 24 Jun 2026 · PRI 11.4% as published, 13.2% normalised Gobernarte · 24 Jun 2026 · PVEM 2.6% as published, 3.0% normalised Gobernarte · 24 Jun 2026 · PT 5.2% as published, 6.0% normalised Gobernarte · 24 Jun 2026 · MC 4.5% as published, 5.2% normalised Gobernarte · 24 Jun 2026 · Morena 46.9% as published, 54.5% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 26 Jul 2026 · PAN 17.9% as published, 19.5% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 26 Jul 2026 · PRI 11.9% as published, 13.0% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 26 Jul 2026 · PVEM 5.4% as published, 5.9% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 26 Jul 2026 · PT 3.4% as published, 3.7% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 26 Jul 2026 · MC 10.7% as published, 11.7% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 26 Jul 2026 · Morena 38.6% as published, 42.1% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 26 Jul 2026 · PAZ 1.7% as published, 1.9% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 26 Jul 2026 · SOMOS 2.1% as published, 2.3% normalised Parametría · 5 Aug 2026 · PAN 10% as published, 13.7% normalised Parametría · 5 Aug 2026 · PRI 8% as published, 11.0% normalised Parametría · 5 Aug 2026 · PVEM 5% as published, 6.8% normalised Parametría · 5 Aug 2026 · PT 4% as published, 5.5% normalised Parametría · 5 Aug 2026 · MC 10% as published, 13.7% normalised Parametría · 5 Aug 2026 · Morena 36% as published, 49.3% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 11 Aug 2026 · PAN 14.5% as published, 17.1% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 11 Aug 2026 · PRI 10.2% as published, 12.0% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 11 Aug 2026 · PVEM 3.5% as published, 4.1% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 11 Aug 2026 · PT 2.2% as published, 2.6% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 11 Aug 2026 · MC 9% as published, 10.6% normalised Statistical Research Corporation · 11 Aug 2026 · Morena 45.5% as published, 53.6% normalised Consulta Mitofsky (for El Economista) · 16 Aug 2026 · PAN 14.8% as published, 19.0% normalised Consulta Mitofsky (for El Economista) · 16 Aug 2026 · PRI 10.4% as published, 13.3% normalised Consulta Mitofsky (for El Economista) · 16 Aug 2026 · PVEM 5.6% as published, 7.2% normalised Consulta Mitofsky (for El Economista) · 16 Aug 2026 · PT 2.7% as published, 3.5% normalised Consulta Mitofsky (for El Economista) · 16 Aug 2026 · MC 9.8% as published, 12.5% normalised Consulta Mitofsky (for El Economista) · 16 Aug 2026 · Morena 33.4% as published, 42.8% normalised Consulta Mitofsky (for El Economista) · 16 Aug 2026 · PAZ 0.5% as published, 0.6% normalised Consulta Mitofsky (for El Economista) · 16 Aug 2026 · SOMOS 0.9% as published, 1.2% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 26 Aug 2026 · PAN 11% as published, 15.3% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 26 Aug 2026 · PRI 9% as published, 12.5% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 26 Aug 2026 · PVEM 5% as published, 6.9% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 26 Aug 2026 · PT 2% as published, 2.8% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 26 Aug 2026 · MC 9% as published, 12.5% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 26 Aug 2026 · Morena 35% as published, 48.6% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 26 Aug 2026 · PAZ 0% as published, 0.0% normalised Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · 26 Aug 2026 · SOMOS 1% as published, 1.4% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 29 Aug 2026 · PAN 12% as published, 15.2% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 29 Aug 2026 · PRI 8% as published, 10.1% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 29 Aug 2026 · PVEM 3% as published, 3.8% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 29 Aug 2026 · PT 2% as published, 2.5% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 29 Aug 2026 · MC 12% as published, 15.2% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 29 Aug 2026 · Morena 41% as published, 51.9% normalised Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · 29 Aug 2026 · SOMOS 1% as published, 1.3% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 30 Aug 2026 · PAN 18.7% as published, 20.2% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 30 Aug 2026 · PRI 13.4% as published, 14.5% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 30 Aug 2026 · PVEM 4.8% as published, 5.2% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 30 Aug 2026 · PT 3.2% as published, 3.5% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 30 Aug 2026 · MC 11.5% as published, 12.4% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 30 Aug 2026 · Morena 37.6% as published, 40.7% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 30 Aug 2026 · PAZ 1.8% as published, 1.9% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 30 Aug 2026 · SOMOS 1.4% as published, 1.5% normalised El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 15 Sep 2026 · PAN 8% as published, 11.6% normalised El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 15 Sep 2026 · PRI 6% as published, 8.7% normalised El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 15 Sep 2026 · PVEM 2% as published, 2.9% normalised El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 15 Sep 2026 · PT 1% as published, 1.4% normalised El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 15 Sep 2026 · MC 5% as published, 7.2% normalised El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 15 Sep 2026 · Morena 46% as published, 66.7% normalised El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 15 Sep 2026 · PAZ 0% as published, 0.0% normalised El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · 15 Sep 2026 · SOMOS 1% as published, 1.4% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 29 Sep 2026 · PAN 17.1% as published, 18.0% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 29 Sep 2026 · PRI 14.2% as published, 15.0% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 29 Sep 2026 · PVEM 4.9% as published, 5.2% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 29 Sep 2026 · PT 2.8% as published, 3.0% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 29 Sep 2026 · MC 12.3% as published, 13.0% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 29 Sep 2026 · Morena 41.2% as published, 43.5% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 29 Sep 2026 · PAZ 1.3% as published, 1.4% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 29 Sep 2026 · SOMOS 1% as published, 1.1% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 22 Oct 2026 · PAN 19.2% as published, 20.5% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 22 Oct 2026 · PRI 10.1% as published, 10.8% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 22 Oct 2026 · PVEM 4.4% as published, 4.7% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 22 Oct 2026 · PT 2.4% as published, 2.6% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 22 Oct 2026 · MC 10.3% as published, 11.0% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 22 Oct 2026 · Morena 43.6% as published, 46.5% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 22 Oct 2026 · PAZ 1.1% as published, 1.2% normalised LaEncuesta.MX · 22 Oct 2026 · SOMOS 2.6% as published, 2.8% normalised De las Heras Demotecnia · 26 Oct 2026 · PAN 9% as published, 12.0% normalised De las Heras Demotecnia · 26 Oct 2026 · PRI 7% as published, 9.3% normalised De las Heras Demotecnia · 26 Oct 2026 · PVEM 4% as published, 5.3% normalised De las Heras Demotecnia · 26 Oct 2026 · PT 2% as published, 2.7% normalised De las Heras Demotecnia · 26 Oct 2026 · MC 6% as published, 8.0% normalised De las Heras Demotecnia · 26 Oct 2026 · Morena 45% as published, 60.0% normalised De las Heras Demotecnia · 26 Oct 2026 · PAZ 1% as published, 1.3% normalised De las Heras Demotecnia · 26 Oct 2026 · SOMOS 1% as published, 1.3% normalised MorenaPANPRIMCPVEMPTSOMOSPAZ Morena 52PAN 16MC 11PRI 11PVEM 5PT 3SOMOS 2PAZ 1
Dots: one poll, each party's share of the party vote (undecided and "none" removed) · lines: average of the latest poll from each pollster in the previous 120 days, at each month end · 34 polls
Pollster Fieldwork MorenaPANPRIMCPVEMPTSOMOSPAZ Rest Source
De las Heras Demotecnia · n=1,000 26 Oct 2026 459764211 25.0 pollster ↗
LaEncuesta.MX · n=5,000 22 Oct 2026 43.619.210.110.34.42.42.61.1 6.3 press report (secondary) ↗
El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · n=800 15 Sep 2026 468652110 31.0 pollster ↗
Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · n=1,205 29 Aug 2026 4112812321— 21.0 pollster ↗
Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · n=1,000 26 Aug 2026 3511995210 28.0 pollster ↗
Consulta Mitofsky (for El Economista) · n=1,200 16 Aug 2026 33.414.810.49.85.62.70.90.5 21.9 press report (secondary) ↗
Statistical Research Corporation · n=1,000 11 Aug 2026 45.514.510.293.52.2—— 15.1 pollster ↗
Parametría · n=800 5 Aug 2026 361081054—— 27.0 pollster ↗
Average, normalised 5 Aug 2026–26 Oct 2026 52.415.511.011.35.22.91.60.6

Rows: % as published (raw intention, undecided in the base). Average: each poll rescaled to its party total, then the mean over the 8 pollsters with a poll in the 120 days to 26 Oct 2026; SOMOS and PAZ only over the polls that list them (6 and 5).

Pollsters: El Financiero (Alejandro Moreno) · Enkoll (for El País / W Radio) · Consulta Mitofsky (for El Economista) · Buendía & Márquez (for El Universal) · AtlasIntel (Latam Pulse, with Bloomberg) · Varela y Asociados · Becerra Mizuno y Asociados (for Latinus) · LaEncuesta.MX · De las Heras Demotecnia · Parametría · Statistical Research Corporation · Gobernarte · Electoralia. Prediction-market prices, below, are traders' bets, not polls.